Championship
PortsmouthPortsmouthWDWDW
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1112:30UK
StokeStokeLWDWW

Portsmouth vs Stoke both teams to score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No50.8%
Both teams to score: Yes49.2%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No50.8%

Both Teams to Score

Yes49.2%
NoModel lean50.8%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 43.3%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Portsmouth scored
1.4
Portsmouth conceded
0.6
Stoke scored
1.4
Stoke conceded
0.8

Each team to score

Portsmouth to score73.6%
Portsmouth 2+ goals38.4%
Stoke to score66.0%
Stoke 2+ goals29.3%

By half

Both score in 1st half14.6%
Both score in 2nd half24.0%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.6%

0

20.4%

1

26.7%

2

21.0%

3

12.6%

4

9.4%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

PortsmouthBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5
StokeBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

PortsmouthPortsmouthLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-1
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-1

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

StokeStokeLast 5
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 2-1

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2PortsmouthPortsmouth wins
0Draws
2StokeStoke wins
4.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
StokeStoke
1 – 3
PortsmouthPortsmouth
PortsmouthPortsmouth
0 – 1
StokeStoke
PortsmouthPortsmouth
3 – 1
StokeStoke
StokeStoke
6 – 1
PortsmouthPortsmouth

Match outlook

PickPortsmouth41.8%
Draw28.6%
Stoke29.6%

The model leans Portsmouth to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,450Matches graded

In 26,240 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 4 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 57.9%✓ 53.5%✗ 54.4%✓ 52.3%✓ 55.2%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.0%✓ 52.8%✓ 53.7%✓ 50.8%
7 of 10 recent calls hit.
Blackburn vs Stoke2026-11-03No 57.9%Miss
Charlton vs Bolton2026-11-03No 53.5%Hit
Derby vs Norwich2026-11-03Yes 54.4%Miss
Portsmouth vs Swansea2026-11-03Yes 52.3%Hit
Preston vs Sheffield United2026-11-03Yes 55.2%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 50.8%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Portsmouth have averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded, Stoke 1.4 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 43.3% for over 2.5 and 70.0% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 4.0 goals a game. Portsmouth have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Stoke in 2 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 43.3% for three or more goals and 70.0% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Portsmouth favoured at 41.8%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

41.8%Favoured: Portsmouth
49.2%Both Teams to Score
43.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 50.8% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 43.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPortsmouth are the model’s pick on the result at 41.8%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
PortsmouthPortsmouth

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

StokeStoke
Statistic
Portsmouth
Stoke
BTTS rate
57.1%
64.3%

clean sheets
28.6%
35.7%

goals scored per game
1.4
1.6

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Stoke?
The model estimates Both Teams to Score at 49.2% for Portsmouth vs Stoke.
Will Portsmouth score against Stoke?
The model rates Portsmouth to score at 73.6% and Stoke to score at 66.0%.
How often have Portsmouth seen both teams score recently?
Portsmouth have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Stoke in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Championship, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.