Ekstraklasa
Pogon SzczecinPogon SzczecinDWWWW
Full time4-3Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1016:30UK
Radomiak RadomRadomiak RadomDLLLL

Pogon Szczecin 4-3 Radomiak Radom both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No50.4%
Both teams to score: Yes49.6%

Result

Pogon Szczecin4-3Radomiak Radom
4 goals before half-timePogon Szczecin 2, Radomiak Radom 2
No

We called No at 50.4% and it missed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · No50.4%

Both Teams to Score

Yes49.6%
NoModel lean50.4%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 54.2%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Pogon Szczecin scored
1.6
Pogon Szczecin conceded
0.4
Radomiak Radom scored
0.6
Radomiak Radom conceded
2.2

Each team to score

Pogon Szczecin to score86.6%
Pogon Szczecin 2+ goals59.7%
Radomiak Radom to score56.8%
Radomiak Radom 2+ goals20.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.3%

0

15.5%

1

24.0%

2

22.3%

3

15.9%

4

14.3%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Pogon SzczecinBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 1/5
Radomiak RadomBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Pogon SzczecinSzczecinLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 1-0

4 wins · 1 draw · 0 losses

Radomiak RadomRadomiakLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-5
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 0-1

0 wins · 1 draw · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Pogon SzczecinSzczecin wins
1Draws
3Radomiak RadomRadomiak wins
3.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Pogon SzczecinSzczecin
2 – 2
Radomiak RadomRadomiak
Radomiak RadomRadomiak
5 – 1
Pogon SzczecinSzczecin
Radomiak RadomRadomiak
2 – 0
Pogon SzczecinSzczecin
Pogon SzczecinSzczecin
0 – 1
Radomiak RadomRadomiak
Radomiak RadomRadomiak
0 – 4
Pogon SzczecinSzczecin

Match outlook

PickPogon Szczecin64.2%
Draw21.5%
Radomiak Radom14.3%

The model leans Pogon Szczecin to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 26,174 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · No at 50.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Pogon Szczecin have averaged 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded, Radomiak Radom 0.6 and 2.2 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 54.2% for over 2.5 and 78.2% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.4 goals a game. Pogon Szczecin have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Radomiak Radom in 2 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 54.2% for three or more goals and 78.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Pogon Szczecin favoured at 64.2%, a one-sided game can cap the goals at one end.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

64.2%Favoured: Pogon Szczecin
49.6%Both Teams to Score
54.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 50.4% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 54.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPogon Szczecin are the model’s pick on the result at 64.2%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
Statistic
Pogon Szczecin
Radomiak Radom
BTTS rate
40.0%
54.5%

clean sheets
50.0%
18.2%

goals scored per game
1.5
0.8

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 49.6%. Both teams scored, final score 4-3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ekstraklasa, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.