Ligue 1
Paris SGParis SGLWWWW
Full time2-0Mon, 26 Oct 202626/1019:30UK13°C · Cloudy
LyonLyonWDWLW

PSG 2-0 Lyon both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes59.3%
Both teams to score: No40.7%

Result

Paris SG2-0Lyon
Yes

We called Yes at 59.3% and it missed.

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · Yes59.3%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean59.3%
No40.7%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 60.8%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Paris SG scored
2.0
Paris SG conceded
1.0
Lyon scored
2.0
Lyon conceded
0.8

Each team to score

Paris SG to score86.4%
Paris SG 2+ goals59.3%
Lyon to score68.1%
Lyon 2+ goals31.7%

By half

Both score in 1st half21.1%
Both score in 2nd half31.4%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.8%

0

12.6%

1

21.8%

2

22.3%

3

17.5%

4

19.1%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Paris SGBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5
LyonBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Paris SGParis SGLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 3-1

4 wins · 0 draws · 1 loss

LyonLyonLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 4-0
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-1

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4Paris SGParis SG wins
0Draws
1LyonLyon wins
4.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Paris SGParis SG
1 – 2
LyonLyon
LyonLyon
2 – 3
Paris SGParis SG
LyonLyon
2 – 3
Paris SGParis SG
Paris SGParis SG
3 – 1
LyonLyon
Paris SGParis SG
4 – 1
LyonLyon

Match outlook

PickParis SG59.7%
Draw21.4%
Lyon18.9%

The model leans Paris SG to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 34,665 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 59.3%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Paris SG have averaged 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, Lyon 2.0 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 60.8% for over 2.5 and 82.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 4.4 goals a game. Paris SG have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, Lyon in 3 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 60.8% for three or more goals and 82.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Paris SG favoured at 59.7%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

59.7%Favoured: Paris SG
59.3%Both Teams to Score
60.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 59.3% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 60.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutParis SG are the model’s pick on the result at 59.7%, a lean on probability, never on price.
Paris SGParis SG

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

LyonLyon
Statistic
Paris SG
Lyon
BTTS rate
85.7%
57.1%

clean sheets
14.3%
42.9%

goals scored per game
2.0
1.9

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Paris SGParis SG (1)
Ousmane Dembélé
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
44.1%
2.27
1+ shot on target
71.4%
1.40
2+ shots
77.1%
1.30
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.74
On target2.11
Goals0.98
LyonLyon (1)
Ernest Nuamah
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
20.4%
4.90
1+ shot on target
48.1%
2.08
2+ shots
43.0%
2.33
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.63
On target1.18
Goals0.41

FAQ

Did both teams score in Paris SG vs Lyon?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 59.3%. Both teams did not both score, final score 2-0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 1, Both Teams to Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.