Allsvenskan
OrgryteOrgryteLLWDL
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1116:30UK
Vasteras SKVasteras SKWLWLW

Orgryte vs Vasteras SK correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.7%
1-0 correct score8.8%
2-1 correct score8.8%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.7%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Orgryte goals, columns = Vasteras SK goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.7%
  2. 1-08.8%
  3. 2-18.8%
  4. 1-27.8%
  5. 0-17.8%
  6. 0-07.1%
  7. 2-06.8%
  8. 2-25.6%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1% 7.8% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 8.8% 12.7% 7.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.5% 1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Orgryte · Columns: Vasteras SK

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.1%

0

16.6%

1

24.9%

2

22.1%

3

15.1%

4

13.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

OrgryteOrgryteLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 4-2
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

Vasteras SKVasteras SKLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 3-0

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting

0OrgryteOrgryte wins
0Draws
1Vasteras SKVasteras SK wins
2.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Vasteras SKVasteras SK
2 – 0
OrgryteOrgryte

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 12.7% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Orgryte have averaged 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded, Vasteras SK 1.4 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 51.4% for over 2.5 and 76.3% for at least two goals. Their last 1 meetings have averaged 2.0 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 51.4% for three or more goals and 76.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Orgryte favoured at 40.4%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

40.4%Favoured: Orgryte
55.9%Both Teams to Score
51.4%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 51.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutOrgryte are the model’s pick on the result at 40.4%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Orgryte vs Vasteras SK?
The model's most likely scoreline for Orgryte vs Vasteras SK is 1-1 at 12.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.