Allsvenskan
GoteborgGoteborgWDDDL
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1113:00UK
Malmo FFMalmo FFWLDWL

Goteborg vs Malmo FF correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.9%
0-1 correct score9.1%
1-2 correct score8.7%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.9%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Goteborg goals, columns = Malmo FF goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.9%
  2. 0-19.1%
  3. 1-28.7%
  4. 1-08.0%
  5. 2-17.7%
  6. 0-07.4%
  7. 0-26.9%
  8. 2-25.5%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4% 9.1% 6.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 8% 12.9% 8.7% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.4% 7.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Goteborg · Columns: Malmo FF

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.4%

0

17.1%

1

25.2%

2

22.0%

3

14.8%

4

13.0%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

GoteborgGoteborgLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

Malmo FFMalmo FFLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 1-2

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1GoteborgGoteborg wins
1Draws
3Malmo FFMalmo FF wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Malmo FFMalmo FF
4 – 0
GoteborgGoteborg
Malmo FFMalmo FF
0 – 0
GoteborgGoteborg
GoteborgGoteborg
1 – 0
Malmo FFMalmo FF
Malmo FFMalmo FF
2 – 1
GoteborgGoteborg
GoteborgGoteborg
0 – 3
Malmo FFMalmo FF

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0102Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,177Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 2 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 12.9% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Goteborg have averaged 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, Malmo FF 1.0 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.3% for over 2.5 and 75.5% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 50.3% for three or more goals and 75.5% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Malmo FF favoured at 40.2%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

40.2%Favoured: Malmo FF
55.1%Both Teams to Score
50.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 50.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutMalmo FF are the model’s pick on the result at 40.2%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Goteborg vs Malmo FF?
The model's most likely scoreline for Goteborg vs Malmo FF is 1-1 at 12.9%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Allsvenskan, Correct Score

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.