Super League Greece
Olympiakos vs 
OFI Crete Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 39.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 64.6% for over 7.5 to 13.0% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 52.0%. On the corner count, Olympiakos are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 66.5%, with a level count at 9.6%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| 8.5 corners | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| 9.5 corners | 39.7% | 60.3% |
| 10.5 corners | 28.8% | 71.2% |
| 11.5 corners | 19.9% | 80.1% |
| 12.5 corners | 13.0% | 87.0% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
74.9%
60.4%
45.7%
43.0%
26.9%
15.4%
Corner handicap
| Olympiakos line | Olympiakos | OFI Crete |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 34.2% | 65.8% |
| -1.5 | 55.8% | 44.3% |
| -0.5 | 66.5% | 33.5% |
| +0.5 | 76.0% | 24.0% |
The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Olympiakos.
In-depth analysis
By team, Olympiakos over 4.5 corners sits at 60.4% and OFI Crete at 26.9%.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Olympiakos vs OFI Crete?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 39.7% for Olympiakos vs OFI Crete.
Which team will win the corner count in Olympiakos vs OFI Crete?
The model rates Olympiakos to win the corner count at 66.5%, with a level count at 9.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 3,406 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 13 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Super League Greece, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.