Super League Greece
Panathinaikos vs 
Panetolikos Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 36.8%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 61.4% for over 7.5 to 11.2% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.5%. Head to head on corners, Panathinaikos are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 60.5%, with a level count at 10.5%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| 8.5 corners | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 9.5 corners | 36.4% | 63.6% |
| 10.5 corners | 25.8% | 74.2% |
| 11.5 corners | 17.4% | 82.6% |
| 12.5 corners | 11.2% | 88.8% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
69.7%
54.1%
39.2%
46.2%
29.6%
17.5%
Corner handicap
| Panathinaikos line | Panathinaikos | Panetolikos |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 28.1% | 71.9% |
| -1.5 | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| -0.5 | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| +0.5 | 71.0% | 29.0% |
The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Panathinaikos.
In-depth analysis
By team, Panathinaikos over 4.5 corners sits at 54.1% and Panetolikos at 29.6%.
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 36.4% for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos.
Which team will win the corner count in Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos?
The model rates Panathinaikos to win the corner count at 60.5%, with a level count at 10.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 3,406 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Super League Greece, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.