Super League Greece
Olympiakos vs 
OFI Crete Correct Score
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Most likely · 13.6% at 2-0, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Olympiakos have averaged 1.0 scored and 0.4 conceded, OFI Crete 2.0 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 49.0% for over 2.5 and 74.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Correct Score
| Scoreline | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2-0 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 13.5% |
| 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
| 3-0 | 8.9% |
| 0-0 | 7.7% |
| 3-1 | 6.1% |
| 0-1 | 4.4% |
Score probability grid
| Olympiakos \ OFI Crete | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 4% | 2% | · | · | · |
| 1 | 14% | 10% | 3% | 1% | · | · |
| 2 | 14% | 9% | 3% | 1% | · | · |
| 3 | 9% | 6% | 2% | · | · | · |
| 4 | 4% | 3% | 1% | · | · | · |
| 5 | 2% | 1% | · | · | · | · |
Rows = Olympiakos goals, columns = OFI Crete. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 13.6%. Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Darker cells carry more probability.
Goals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
42.8%Both Teams to Score49.0%Over 2.5 goalsOn the goals side, the model sees 49.0% for three or more goals and 74.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Olympiakos favoured at 67.0%, the scoreline often hinges on whether the favourite is made to chase.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Olympiakos 5 · 0 draws · OFI Crete 0 · 2.6 goals/game.
FAQ
What is the most likely score in Olympiakos vs OFI Crete?
The model's most likely scoreline for Olympiakos vs OFI Crete is 2-0 at 13.6%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Overall model accuracy
We don’t yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
More Super League Greece, Correct Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.