Kifisia vs Levadeiakos prediction & probabilities (2026-09-13)

Super League Greece

Kifisia vs Levadeiakos Corners

2026-09-13 · 19:00
Corners34.9%Over 9.5 corners
Best predictionOver 9.5 corners · 34.9%A moderate lean, nothing emphatic. Calibrated, not a tip.
35%

model probability

ConvictionModerate

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 34.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 59.1% for over 7.5 to 10.0% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.2%. Head to head on corners, Kifisia are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.8%, with a level count at 11.2%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Corners

Over 8.546.2%

Over 9.534.1%

Over 10.523.8%

Over 11.515.8%

Total corners, every line

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 59.1% 40.9%
8.5 corners 46.2% 53.8%
9.5 corners 34.1% 65.9%
10.5 corners 23.8% 76.1%
11.5 corners 15.8% 84.2%
12.5 corners 10.0% 90.0%

Who wins the corner count

★ ModelKifisia53.8%

Level11.2%

Levadeiakos35.1%

Team corner lines

Kifisia over 3.5

64.1%

Kifisia over 4.5

47.8%

Kifisia over 5.5

33.0%

Levadeiakos over 3.5

50.2%

Levadeiakos over 4.5

33.4%

Levadeiakos over 5.5

20.5%

Corner handicap

Kifisia line Kifisia Levadeiakos
-1.5 42.3% 57.7%
-0.5 53.8% 46.3%
+0.5 64.9% 35.1%
+1.5 74.9% 25.1%

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Kifisia.

In-depth analysis

34.1%Over 9.5 corners
53.8%Most corners: Kifisia
47.8%Kifisia over 4.5 corners
33.4%Levadeiakos over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

By team, Kifisia over 4.5 corners sits at 47.8% and Levadeiakos at 33.4%.

These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.

Model lenses

Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 34.9% on Corners, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The Territory ReaderKifisia are the pick to win the corner count at 53.8%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 46.2%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

FAQ

How many corners in Kifisia vs Levadeiakos?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 34.1% for Kifisia vs Levadeiakos.

Which team will win the corner count in Kifisia vs Levadeiakos?
The model rates Kifisia to win the corner count at 53.8%, with a level count at 11.2%.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0099Calibration error
50,161Matches graded

In 3,406 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 11 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Corners calls

The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.

✗ 54.9%✗ 58.1%✓ 53.1%✗ 53.0%✓ 51.3%✓ 52.8%✓ 54.8%✓ 55.3%✗ 54.3%✓ 58.9%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Estrela vs Sp Braga2026-09-10Under 9.5 54.9%Miss
Panathinaikos vs Kifisia2026-09-10Under 9.5 58.1%Miss
Twente vs Telstar2026-09-09Over 9.5 53.1%Hit
Moreirense vs Benfica2026-09-09Under 9.5 53.0%Miss
Derby vs West Brom2026-09-09Over 9.5 51.3%Hit

More Super League Greece, Corners

All Corners predictions →

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Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.