Ligue 2
NantesNantesLDWLW
Full time0-0Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1013:00UK
ReimsReimsWWDWD

Nantes 0-0 Reims corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined58.6%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined41.4%

Result

Nantes0-0Reims
13 cornersNantes 7, Reims 6
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 58.6% and it missed (13 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners41.4%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Nantes.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 66.1% 33.9%
8.5 corners 53.7% 46.3%
9.5 corners 41.4% 58.6%
10.5 corners 30.4% 69.6%
11.5 corners 21.2% 78.8%
12.5 corners 14.1% 85.9%

Who wins the corner count

Nantes
51.8%
Level
11.3%
Reims
36.9%

Team corners lines

Nantes

Over 3.5
67.7%
Over 4.5
51.4%
Over 5.5
36.1%

Reims

Over 3.5
57.3%
Over 4.5
40.0%
Over 5.5
25.7%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Nantes's; Reims gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Nantes line Nantes Reims
-1.5 40.4% 59.6%
-0.5 51.8% 48.2%
+0.5 63.1% 36.9%
+1.5 73.4% 26.6%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 41.4%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 66.1% for over 7.5 to 14.1% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 53.7%. On the corner count, Nantes are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 51.8%, with a level count at 11.3%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

By team, Nantes over 4.5 corners sits at 51.4% and Reims at 40.0%. This season Nantes have averaged 5.1 corners won a game and Reims 2.1.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

41.4%Over 9.5 corners
51.8%Most corners: Nantes
51.4%Nantes over 4.5 corners
40.0%Reims over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 41.4% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderNantes are the pick to win the corner count at 51.8%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 53.7%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
NantesNantes

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

ReimsReims
Statistic
Nantes
Reims
corners won per game
5.1
2.1

corners conceded per game
3.3
4.9

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Nantes vs Reims?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 41.4% for Nantes vs Reims.
Which team will win the corner count in Nantes vs Reims?
Before kickoff, the model rated Nantes to win the corner count at 51.8%, with a level count at 11.3%.
How many corners do Nantes and Reims average this season?
Nantes have won 5.1 corners a game this season and Reims 2.1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Corners

Corner predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.