Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Pau FC Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Both teams to score · No at 50.4%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Montpellier have averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded, Pau FC 0.8 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 46.5% for over 2.5 and 72.5% for at least two goals. Their last 2 meetings have averaged 0.5 goals a game. Montpellier have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Pau FC in 2 of 5. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
0.8
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Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
40.0%Montpellier BTTS rate60.0%Montpellier clean sheets
0.8Montpellier goals scored per game40.0%Pau FC BTTS rate20.0%Pau FC clean sheets0.8Pau FC goals scored per gameGoals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
49.6%Both Teams to Score46.5%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 46.5% for three or more goals and 72.5% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Montpellier favoured at 50.6%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. We grade every call after the match.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Montpellier to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Montpellier 0 · 1 draws · Pau FC 1 · 0.5 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Montpellier vs Pau FC?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 49.6% for Montpellier vs Pau FC.
Will Montpellier score against Pau FC?
The model rates Montpellier to score at 79.1% and Pau FC to score at 62.0%.
How often have Montpellier seen both teams score recently?
Montpellier have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Pau FC in 2 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 20,236 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Ligue 2, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.