Ligue 2Red Star vs 
Metz Both Teams to Score
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Both teams to score · No at 50.2%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Red Star have averaged 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded, Metz 1.6 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 47.6% for over 2.5 and 73.4% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.4 goals a game. Red Star have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Metz in 4 of 5. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Both Teams to Score
Recent scoring & conceding (per game)
1.0
1.2
1.6
0.8
Each team to score
By half
This season (2026/27)
60.0%Red Star BTTS rate40.0%Red Star clean sheets
1.0Red Star goals scored per game80.0%Metz BTTS rate20.0%Metz clean sheets1.6Metz goals scored per gameGoals distribution
The model’s probability for the total number of goals, the shape behind every goals market. The 5+ bar groups every result with five or more goals.
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In-depth analysis
49.8%Both Teams to Score47.6%Over 2.5 goalsFor the goal environment, the model sees 47.6% for three or more goals and 73.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Red Star favoured at 52.8%, a competitive game tends to open up.
We publish the model, not a sure thing. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
Match outlook
The model leans Red Star to win. See the full prediction →
Form & head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Red Star 1 · 1 draws · Metz 3 · 2.4 goals/game.
Recent trends
How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.
FAQ
Will both teams score in Red Star vs Metz?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 49.8% for Red Star vs Metz.
Will Red Star score against Metz?
The model rates Red Star to score at 80.4% and Metz to score at 61.2%.
How often have Red Star seen both teams score recently?
Red Star have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Metz in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Both Teams to Score accuracy
How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 20,236 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.5% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls
The model’s most recent graded Both Teams to Score predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Ligue 2, Both Teams to Score
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.