Ligue 1
LilleLilleDWWLW
Full time1-1Sat, 17 Oct 202617/1019:45UK11°C · Rain
BrestBrestDWLLW

Lille 1-1 Brest both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes52.5%
Both teams to score: No47.5%

Result

Lille1-1Brest
Yes

We called Yes at 52.5% and it landed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes52.5%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean52.5%
No47.5%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 50.7%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Lille scored
1.4
Lille conceded
0.8
Brest scored
2.0
Brest conceded
1.4

Each team to score

Lille to score81.4%
Lille 2+ goals50.2%
Brest to score63.8%
Brest 2+ goals27.1%

By half

Both score in 1st half20.1%
Both score in 2nd half23.2%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.3%

0

17.0%

1

25.1%

2

22.1%

3

14.9%

4

12.9%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

LilleBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 2/5
BrestBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

LilleLilleLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 1-0

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

BrestBrestLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 5-1

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1LilleLille wins
3Draws
1BrestBrest wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
LilleLille
1 – 1
BrestBrest
BrestBrest
3 – 3
LilleLille
BrestBrest
2 – 0
LilleLille
LilleLille
3 – 1
BrestBrest
BrestBrest
1 – 1
LilleLille

Match outlook

PickLille54.6%
Draw23.9%
Brest21.5%

The model leans Lille to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 34,661 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Both teams to score · Yes at 52.5%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. Recent output points the same way: Lille have averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded, Brest 2.0 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.7% for over 2.5 and 75.8% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. Lille have seen both teams score in 2 of their last 5, Brest in 4 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 50.7% for three or more goals and 75.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Lille favoured at 54.6%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

54.6%Favoured: Lille
52.5%Both Teams to Score
50.7%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 52.5% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 50.7% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutLille are the model’s pick on the result at 54.6%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
LilleLille

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

BrestBrest
Statistic
Lille
Brest
BTTS rate
33.3%
83.3%

clean sheets
66.7%
0.0%

goals scored per game
1.5
2.0

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

LilleLille (1)
Ethan Mbappé
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
12.4%
8.06
1+ shot on target
39.4%
2.54
2+ shots
26.4%
3.79
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.93
On target1.47
Goals0.39
BrestBrest (1)
Noah Edjouma
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
7.2%
13.89
1+ shot on target
22.8%
4.39
2+ shots
14.5%
6.90
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots3.38
On target1.31
Goals0.38

FAQ

Did both teams score in Lille vs Brest?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 52.5%. Both teams scored, final score 1-1.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 1, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.