Ligue 1
Le MansLe MansLDDWL
Full time0-3Fri, 16 Oct 202616/1019:45UK
ToulouseToulouseDLDWD

Le Mans 0-3 Toulouse both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes56.1%
Both teams to score: No43.9%

Result

Le Mans0-3Toulouse
Yes

We called Yes at 56.1% and it missed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes56.1%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean56.1%
No43.9%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 52.1%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Le Mans scored
1.6
Le Mans conceded
2.0
Toulouse scored
1.8
Toulouse conceded
1.8

Each team to score

Le Mans to score71.1%
Le Mans 2+ goals35.2%
Toulouse to score78.1%
Toulouse 2+ goals44.9%

By half

Both score in 1st half27.7%
Both score in 2nd half32.7%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.9%

0

16.3%

1

24.7%

2

22.2%

3

15.3%

4

14.0%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Le MansBTTS 5/5Over 2.5 4/5
ToulouseBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Le MansLe MansLast 5
L
Loss · 2-3
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-3

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

ToulouseToulouseLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 3-2
D
Draw · 2-2

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Match outlook

Le Mans30.9%
Draw26.5%
PickToulouse42.7%

The model leans Toulouse to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,243Matches graded

In 34,665 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.4%✗ 52.0%✓ 50.8%✓ 51.2%✓ 57.4%✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sassuolo vs Lazio2026-10-27Yes 50.4%Hit
Roma vs Cagliari2026-10-27No 52.0%Miss
Torino vs Como2026-10-27Yes 50.8%Hit
Barnet vs York2026-10-27Yes 51.2%Hit
AIK vs Elfsborg2026-10-27Yes 57.4%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Both teams to score · Yes at 56.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Le Mans have averaged 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded, Toulouse 1.8 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 52.1% for over 2.5 and 76.8% for at least two goals. Le Mans have seen both teams score in 5 of their last 5, Toulouse in 4 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 52.1% for three or more goals and 76.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Toulouse favoured at 42.7%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

42.7%Favoured: Toulouse
56.1%Both Teams to Score
52.1%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.1% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 52.1% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutToulouse are the model’s pick on the result at 42.7%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Le MansLe Mans

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

ToulouseToulouse
Statistic
Le Mans
Toulouse
BTTS rate
100.0%
66.7%

clean sheets
0.0%
0.0%

goals scored per game
1.7
1.5

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Le MansLe Mans (1)
Louis Mafouta
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
48.8%
2.05
1+ shot on target
81.1%
1.23
2+ shots
71.3%
1.40
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.69
On target1.79
Goals0.72
ToulouseToulouse (1)
Santiago Hidalgo
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
11.1%
9.01
1+ shot on target
39.5%
2.53
2+ shots
35.0%
2.86
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.51
On target1.02
Goals0.24

FAQ

Did both teams score in Le Mans vs Toulouse?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 56.1%. Both teams did not both score, final score 0-3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 1, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.