Ligue 1
Le HavreLe HavreDLDLL
Full time1-3Sun, 18 Oct 202618/1016:15UK13°C · Cloudy
AuxerreAuxerreLLWWL

Le Havre 1-3 Auxerre both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: Yes51.3%
Both teams to score: No48.7%

Result

Le Havre1-3Auxerre
Yes

We called Yes at 51.3% and it landed.

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Both teams to score · Yes51.3%

Both Teams to Score

YesModel lean51.3%
No48.7%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 45.8%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Le Havre scored
0.8
Le Havre conceded
1.4
Auxerre scored
1.2
Auxerre conceded
2.2

Each team to score

Le Havre to score74.3%
Le Havre 2+ goals39.4%
Auxerre to score68.2%
Auxerre 2+ goals31.8%

By half

Both score in 1st half16.6%
Both score in 2nd half23.7%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.8%

0

19.2%

1

26.2%

2

21.4%

3

13.4%

4

10.6%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Le HavreBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5
AuxerreBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Le HavreLe HavreLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 0-1

0 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses

AuxerreAuxerreLast 5
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 1-4

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Le HavreLe Havre wins
1Draws
0AuxerreAuxerre wins
2.5Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Le HavreLe Havre
1 – 1
AuxerreAuxerre
AuxerreAuxerre
0 – 1
Le HavreLe Havre
AuxerreAuxerre
1 – 2
Le HavreLe Havre
Le HavreLe Havre
3 – 1
AuxerreAuxerre

Match outlook

PickLe Havre41.3%
Draw28.4%
Auxerre30.3%

The model leans Le Havre to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 34,661 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 54.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 51.3%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Le Havre have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded, Auxerre 1.2 and 2.2 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 45.8% for over 2.5 and 72.0% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 2.5 goals a game. Le Havre have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Auxerre in 4 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 45.8% for three or more goals and 72.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Le Havre favoured at 41.3%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

41.3%Favoured: Le Havre
51.3%Both Teams to Score
45.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 51.3% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 45.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutLe Havre are the model’s pick on the result at 41.3%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Le HavreLe Havre

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AuxerreAuxerre
Statistic
Le Havre
Auxerre
BTTS rate
50.0%
83.3%

clean sheets
16.7%
16.7%

goals scored per game
0.7
1.3

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Players to watch

Published player-market probabilities, shown in kickoff order. Model estimates, not confirmed lineups.

How our football predictions work →

Le HavreLe Havre (1)
Rayan Fofana
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
17.7%
5.65
1+ shot on target
38.4%
2.60
2+ shots
39.2%
2.55
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots4.11
On target1.47
Goals0.59
AuxerreAuxerre (1)
Theo Bair
Watch list
Prediction markets
Model %
Fair odds
Save
To score
3.9%
25.64
1+ shot on target
34.5%
2.90
2+ shots
22.2%
4.50
Per 90 minutes (recent averages)
Shots2.90
On target1.39
Goals0.13

FAQ

Did both teams score in Le Havre vs Auxerre?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 51.3%. Both teams scored, final score 1-3.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 1, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.