AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 26 Oct 2026

Segunda División
Las PalmasLas PalmasLLDLL
Full time1-0Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1017:30UK
Sociedad BSociedad BLLLLL

Las Palmas 1-0 Sociedad B corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined53%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined47%

Result

Las Palmas1-0Sociedad B
13 cornersLas Palmas 7, Sociedad B 6
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 53.0% and it missed (13 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners47.0%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Las Palmas.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 71.3% 28.7%
8.5 corners 59.4% 40.6%
9.5 corners 47.0% 53.0%
10.5 corners 35.3% 64.7%
11.5 corners 25.3% 74.8%
12.5 corners 17.2% 82.8%

Who wins the corner count

Las Palmas
54.9%
Level
10.9%
Sociedad B
34.2%

Team corners lines

Las Palmas

Over 3.5
72.9%
Over 4.5
57.3%
Over 5.5
41.8%

Sociedad B

Over 3.5
59.0%
Over 4.5
41.5%
Over 5.5
26.7%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Las Palmas's; Sociedad B gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Las Palmas line Las Palmas Sociedad B
-1.5 43.7% 56.3%
-0.5 54.9% 45.1%
+0.5 65.8% 34.2%
+1.5 75.5% 24.5%
Las PalmasLas Palmas

Corner trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Las Palmas at home and Sociedad B away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

Sociedad BSociedad B
Statistic
Las Palmas
Sociedad B
Corners won per game at this venue
·
4.0

Corners conceded per game at this venue
·
6.0

Matches with corner data
5
5

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 47.0%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 71.3% for over 7.5 to 17.2% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 47.0%. Head to head on corners, Las Palmas are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 54.9%, with a level count at 10.9%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

47.0%Over 9.5 corners
54.9%Most corners: Las Palmas
57.3%Las Palmas over 4.5 corners
41.5%Sociedad B over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Split by side, Las Palmas over 4.5 corners sits at 57.3% and Sociedad B at 41.5%.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 47.0% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderLas Palmas are the pick to win the corner count at 54.9%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 47.0%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

FAQ

How many corners in Las Palmas vs Sociedad B?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 47.0% for Las Palmas vs Sociedad B.
Which team will win the corner count in Las Palmas vs Sociedad B?
Before kickoff, the model rated Las Palmas to win the corner count at 54.9%, with a level count at 10.9%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Corner predictions today

Related

Segunda DivisiónLas Palmas fixtures and statsSociedad B fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.