2. Bundesliga
HeidenheimHeidenheimLWWWD
Full time0-0Fri, 9 Oct 20269/1017:30UK
KaiserslauternKaiserslauternDWWLW

Heidenheim 0-0 Kaiserslautern corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined56.9%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined43.2%

Result

Heidenheim0-0Kaiserslautern
15 cornersHeidenheim 7, Kaiserslautern 8
Over 9.5

We called Over 9.5 at 56.9% and it landed (15 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners56.9%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Heidenheim.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.9% 21.1%
8.5 corners 68.5% 31.5%
9.5 corners 56.9% 43.2%
10.5 corners 45.1% 54.9%
11.5 corners 34.1% 66.0%
12.5 corners 24.5% 75.5%

Who wins the corner count

Heidenheim
52.8%
Level
10.6%
Kaiserslautern
36.6%

Team corners lines

Heidenheim

Over 3.5
76.8%
Over 4.5
62.1%
Over 5.5
46.7%

Kaiserslautern

Over 3.5
66.9%
Over 4.5
50.1%
Over 5.5
34.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Heidenheim's; Kaiserslautern gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Heidenheim line Heidenheim Kaiserslautern
-1.5 42.1% 57.9%
-0.5 52.8% 47.2%
+0.5 63.4% 36.6%
+1.5 73.1% 26.9%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 56.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 78.9% for over 7.5 to 24.5% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.1%. On the corner count, Heidenheim are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.6%. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Heidenheim over 4.5 corners sits at 62.1% and Kaiserslautern at 50.1%. This season Heidenheim have averaged 4.5 corners won a game and Kaiserslautern 5.0.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

56.9%Over 9.5 corners
52.8%Most corners: Heidenheim
62.1%Heidenheim over 4.5 corners
50.1%Kaiserslautern over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 56.9% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderHeidenheim are the pick to win the corner count at 52.8%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 10.5 corners: over sits at 45.1%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
HeidenheimHeidenheim

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

KaiserslauternKaiserslautern
Statistic
Heidenheim
Kaiserslautern
corners won per game
4.5
5.0

corners conceded per game
6.7
6.0

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Heidenheim vs Kaiserslautern?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 56.9% for Heidenheim vs Kaiserslautern.
Which team will win the corner count in Heidenheim vs Kaiserslautern?
Before kickoff, the model rated Heidenheim to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Heidenheim and Kaiserslautern average this season?
Heidenheim have won 4.5 corners a game this season and Kaiserslautern 5.0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.