Pro League
Gent vs Standard Liège Corners
Result
Settled, final score 2-1. We don’t store the live count for this market, so there is no graded verdict here.
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 53.3%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 77.6% for over 7.5 to 23.1% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.0%. Between the two sides, Gent are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.5%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 77.6% | 22.4% |
| 8.5 corners | 66.9% | 33.2% |
| 9.5 corners | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| 10.5 corners | 43.2% | 56.8% |
| 11.5 corners | 32.3% | 67.7% |
| 12.5 corners | 23.1% | 77.0% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
75.6%
60.8%
45.5%
65.6%
48.7%
33.3%
Corner handicap
| Gent line | Gent | Standard Liège |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| -0.5 | 52.8% | 47.2% |
| +0.5 | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| +1.5 | 72.9% | 27.1% |
The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Gent.
In-depth analysis
We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.
55.0%Over 9.5 corners60.8%Gent over 4.5 corners48.7%Standard Liège over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Gent over 4.5 corners sits at 60.8% and Standard Liège at 48.7%.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Gent vs Standard Liège?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 55.0% for Gent vs Standard Liège.
Which team will win the corner count in Gent vs Standard Liège?
Before kickoff, the model rated Gent to win the corner count at 52.8%, with a level count at 10.5%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 23,827 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Pro League, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
