Pro League
GenkGenkWDDLW
Full time2-1Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1012:30UK
StandardStandardWWLLL

Genk 2-1 Standard correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.3%
1-0 correct score10.7%
2-1 correct score9.6%

Result

Genk2-1Standard

Final score 2-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 9.6%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.3%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Genk goals, columns = Standard goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.3%
  2. 1-010.7%
  3. 2-19.6%
  4. 2-09.3%
  5. 0-07.5%
  6. 0-16.5%
  7. 1-26.1%
  8. 3-15.3%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5% 6.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.7% 12.3% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.6% 5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Genk · Columns: Standard

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.5%

0

17.2%

1

25.2%

2

22.0%

3

14.7%

4

12.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

GenkGenkLast 5
W
Win · 4-0
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 3-0

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

StandardStandardLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 2-4
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-1

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1GenkGenk wins
2Draws
2StandardStandard wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
StandardStandard
0 – 0
GenkGenk
GenkGenk
1 – 1
StandardStandard
GenkGenk
0 – 3
StandardStandard
StandardStandard
2 – 1
GenkGenk
StandardStandard
1 – 2
GenkGenk

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 12.3% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Genk have averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded, Standard 1.2 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.1% for over 2.5 and 75.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 50.1% for three or more goals and 75.3% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Genk favoured at 50.9%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

50.9%Favoured: Genk
52.6%Both Teams to Score
50.1%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 50.1% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGenk are the model’s pick on the result at 50.9%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Genk vs Standard?
Genk vs Standard finished 2-1. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 12.3%; it gave the actual 2-1 a 9.6% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Pro League, Correct Score

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.