Pro League
GenkGenkDWDDL
Full time3-0Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1019:45UK
KortrijkKortrijkLLLLW

Genk 3-0 Kortrijk correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

2-0 correct score10.5%
1-1 correct score10.2%
2-1 correct score9.9%

Result

Genk3-0Kortrijk

Final score 3-0. The model gave that exact scoreline 7.1%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 10.5%2-0

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Genk goals, columns = Kortrijk goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 10.5%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 2-010.5%
  2. 1-110.2%
  3. 2-19.9%
  4. 1-09.7%
  5. 3-07.1%
  6. 3-16.8%
  7. 0-05.5%
  8. 2-24.7%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5% 4.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.7% 10.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.1% 6.8% 3.2% 1% 0.2% 0.1%
4 3.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Genk · Columns: Kortrijk

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.5%

0

14.0%

1

22.9%

2

22.4%

3

16.8%

4

16.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

GenkGenkLast 5
D
Draw · 4-4
W
Win · 4-0
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 0-3

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

KortrijkKortrijkLast 5
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 1-0

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3GenkGenk wins
0Draws
2KortrijkKortrijk wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
GenkGenk
3 – 2
KortrijkKortrijk
KortrijkKortrijk
2 – 1
GenkGenk
GenkGenk
4 – 0
KortrijkKortrijk
KortrijkKortrijk
0 – 3
GenkGenk
KortrijkKortrijk
1 – 0
GenkGenk

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 10.5% at 2-0, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Genk have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, Kortrijk 0.4 and 1.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 57.7% for over 2.5 and 80.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 57.7% for three or more goals and 80.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Genk favoured at 62.3%, a one-sided game can cap the goals at one end.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

62.3%Favoured: Genk
53.9%Both Teams to Score
57.7%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 2-0 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 57.7% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGenk are the model’s pick on the result at 62.3%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Genk vs Kortrijk?
Genk vs Kortrijk finished 3-0. The model's most likely scoreline was 2-0 at 10.5%; it gave the actual 3-0 a 7.1% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.