League Two
Fleetwood TownFleetwood TownWDLLL
Full time1-1Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1015:00UK
WalsallWalsallDDDWD

Fleetwood Town 1-1 Walsall correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.8%
1-0 correct score11.5%
0-0 correct score10.5%

Result

Fleetwood Town1-1Walsall

Final score 1-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 13.8%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.8%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Fleetwood Town goals, columns = Walsall goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.8%
  2. 1-011.5%
  3. 0-010.5%
  4. 0-110.0%
  5. 2-18.1%
  6. 2-07.5%
  7. 1-27.1%
  8. 0-25.8%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5% 10% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.5% 13.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.5% 8.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.1% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1% 1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Fleetwood Town · Columns: Walsall

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

10.5%

0

21.5%

1

27.1%

2

20.4%

3

11.8%

4

8.3%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Fleetwood TownFleetwoodLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-1

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

WalsallWalsallLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1

1 win · 4 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Fleetwood TownFleetwood wins
1Draws
0WalsallWalsall wins
3.3Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
WalsallWalsall
0 – 1
Fleetwood TownFleetwood
Fleetwood TownFleetwood
1 – 1
WalsallWalsall
Fleetwood TownFleetwood
2 – 0
WalsallWalsall
WalsallWalsall
2 – 6
Fleetwood TownFleetwood

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 13.8% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Fleetwood Town have averaged 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded, Walsall 1.0 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 40.9% for over 2.5 and 68.0% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 3.3 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 40.9% for three or more goals and 68.0% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Fleetwood Town favoured at 39.1%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

39.1%Favoured: Fleetwood Town
47.5%Both Teams to Score
40.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 40.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutFleetwood Town are the model’s pick on the result at 39.1%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Fleetwood Town vs Walsall?
Fleetwood Town vs Walsall finished 1-1, exactly the model's most likely scoreline (13.8%).
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.