Eredivisie

Excelsior Rotterdam vs Groningen Both Teams to Score

2026-10-11 · 15:45

Both Teams to Score62.1%Both teams to score · Yes

Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 62.1%A moderate lean, nothing emphatic. Calibrated, not a tip.

62%

model probability

ConvictionModerate

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 62.1%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. That fits an open goals environment: 61.3% for over 2.5 and 82.9% for at least two goals. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes62.1%

No37.9%

Over 2.5 · context61.3%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Groningen scored

1.8

Groningen conceded

2.2

Each team to score

Excelsior Rotterdam to score73.1%

Excelsior Rotterdam 2+ goals37.8%

Groningen to score84.3%

Groningen 2+ goals55.2%

By half

Both score in 1st half29.2%

Both score in 2nd half30.2%

This season (2026/27)

75.0%Groningen BTTS rate

25.0%Groningen clean sheets

2.3Groningen goals scored per game

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.7%

12.3%

21.7%

22.3%

17.6%

19.9%

In-depth analysis

49.5%Favoured: Groningen

62.1%Both Teams to Score

61.3%Over 2.5 goals

For the goal environment, the model sees 61.3% for three or more goals and 82.9% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Groningen favoured at 49.5%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 62.1% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.

The TacticianReads an open, higher-tempo game from the 61.3% over 2.5 read.

The ScoutGroningen are the model’s pick on the result at 49.5%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

Match outlook

Excelsior Rotterdam26.7%

Draw23.7%

Groningen49.5%

The model leans Groningen to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

GroningenLLDDW

Recent trends

GroningenBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Excelsior Rotterdam vs Groningen?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 62.1% for Excelsior Rotterdam vs Groningen.

Will Excelsior Rotterdam score against Groningen?
The model rates Excelsior Rotterdam to score at 73.1% and Groningen to score at 84.3%.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate

0.0231Calibration error

55,617Matches graded

In 5,795 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 58.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 61.8%✗ 54.5%✗ 51.3%✓ 55.8%✗ 67.4%✗ 62.0%✓ 64.5%✓ 60.1%✓ 59.0%✓ 55.0%

5 of 10 recent calls hit.

Bournemouth vs Liverpool2026-09-20Yes 61.8%Miss

Leeds vs Crystal Palace2026-09-20Yes 54.5%Miss

Manchester City vs Sunderland2026-09-20No 51.3%Miss

Fulham vs Manchester United2026-09-20Yes 55.8%Hit

Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig2026-09-20Yes 67.4%Miss

More Eredivisie, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.

Excelsior Rotterdam vs Groningen prediction & probabilities (2026-10-11)