Ligue 2
DunkerqueDunkerqueLLDWL
Full time0-1Fri, 9 Oct 20269/1019:00UK
AnnecyAnnecyLDWLL

Dunkerque 0-1 Annecy corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined57.5%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined42.5%

Result

Dunkerque0-1Annecy
15 cornersDunkerque 5, Annecy 10
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 57.5% and it missed (15 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners42.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Dunkerque.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 67.1% 32.9%
8.5 corners 54.8% 45.2%
9.5 corners 42.5% 57.5%
10.5 corners 31.4% 68.6%
11.5 corners 22.1% 78.0%
12.5 corners 14.8% 85.2%

Who wins the corner count

Dunkerque
53.2%
Level
11.2%
Annecy
35.7%

Team corners lines

Dunkerque

Over 3.5
69.1%
Over 4.5
53.0%
Over 5.5
37.8%

Annecy

Over 3.5
57.0%
Over 4.5
39.7%
Over 5.5
25.4%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Dunkerque's; Annecy gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Dunkerque line Dunkerque Annecy
-1.5 41.8% 58.2%
-0.5 53.2% 46.8%
+0.5 64.3% 35.7%
+1.5 74.4% 25.7%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 21,932 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 42.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 67.1% for over 7.5 to 14.8% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.8%. On the corner count, Dunkerque are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 53.2%, with a level count at 11.2%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Dunkerque over 4.5 corners sits at 53.0% and Annecy at 39.7%. This season Dunkerque have averaged 4.9 corners won a game and Annecy 5.4.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

42.5%Over 9.5 corners
53.2%Most corners: Dunkerque
53.0%Dunkerque over 4.5 corners
39.7%Annecy over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 42.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderDunkerque are the pick to win the corner count at 53.2%, corners follow pressure, and pressure follows the side with the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 54.8%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
DunkerqueDunkerque

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

AnnecyAnnecy
Statistic
Dunkerque
Annecy
corners won per game
4.9
5.4

corners conceded per game
4.0
5.0

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Dunkerque vs Annecy?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 42.5% for Dunkerque vs Annecy.
Which team will win the corner count in Dunkerque vs Annecy?
Before kickoff, the model rated Dunkerque to win the corner count at 53.2%, with a level count at 11.2%.
How many corners do Dunkerque and Annecy average this season?
Dunkerque have won 4.9 corners a game this season and Annecy 5.4.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Ligue 2, Corners

Corner predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.