Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City prediction & probabilities (2026-10-10)

Championship

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City Both Teams to Score

2026-10-10 · 12:30
Both Teams to Score52.7%Both teams to score · Yes
Best predictionBoth teams to score · Yes · 52.7%Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean. Calibrated, not a tip.
53%

model probability

ConvictionLean

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · Yes at 52.7%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. That fits a balanced goals environment: 47.6% for over 2.5 and 73.4% for at least two goals. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.

Both Teams to Score

★ ModelYes52.7%

No47.3%

Over 2.5 · context47.6%

Recent scoring & conceding (per game)

Bristol City scored

1.4

Bristol City conceded

1.4

Each team to score

Charlton Athletic to score69.0%

Charlton Athletic 2+ goals32.7%

Bristol City to score75.4%

Bristol City 2+ goals41.0%

By half

Both score in 1st half19.5%

Both score in 2nd half26.3%

This season (2026/27)

62.5%Bristol City BTTS rate
12.5%Bristol City clean sheets
1.4Bristol City goals scored per game

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.2%

0

18.4%

1

25.9%

2

21.7%

3

14.0%

4

11.5%

5+

In-depth analysis

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

41.7%Favoured: Bristol City
52.7%Both Teams to Score
47.6%Over 2.5 goals

For the goal environment, the model sees 47.6% for three or more goals and 73.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Bristol City favoured at 41.7%, a competitive game tends to open up.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The CalibratorRaw model read: 52.7% on Both Teams to Score, graded against real out-of-sample results, no odds attached.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 47.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBristol City are the model’s pick on the result at 41.7%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

Match outlook

Charlton Athletic30.7%

Draw27.6%

Bristol City41.7%

The model leans Bristol City to win. See the full prediction →

Form & head-to-head

Bristol CityWWLLW

Recent trends

Bristol CityBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side’s recent games.

FAQ

Will both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City?
Our calibrated model rates Both Teams to Score at 52.7% for Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City.

Will Charlton Athletic score against Bristol City?
The model rates Charlton Athletic to score at 69.0% and Bristol City to score at 75.4%.

How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.

Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.3%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0231Calibration error
55,617Matches graded

In 26,755 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 53.8% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 22 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 61.8%✗ 54.5%✗ 51.3%✓ 55.8%✗ 67.4%✗ 62.0%✓ 64.5%✓ 60.1%✓ 59.0%✓ 55.0%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Bournemouth vs Liverpool2026-09-20Yes 61.8%Miss
Leeds vs Crystal Palace2026-09-20Yes 54.5%Miss
Manchester City vs Sunderland2026-09-20No 51.3%Miss
Fulham vs Manchester United2026-09-20Yes 55.8%Hit
Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig2026-09-20Yes 67.4%Miss

More Championship, Both Teams to Score

All Both Teams to Score predictions →

Related

Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.