Segunda División
BurgosBurgosWWWLL
Full time1-0Sun, 18 Oct 202618/1020:00UK
SabadellSabadellLWDDW

Burgos 1-0 Sabadell both teams to score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Both teams to score: No58.8%
Both teams to score: Yes41.2%

Result

Burgos1-0Sabadell
No

We called No at 58.8% and it landed.

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Both teams to score · No58.8%

Both Teams to Score

Yes41.2%
NoModel lean58.8%

Related market Over 2.5 goals 40.0%

Recent scoring & conceding

Goals scored and conceded per game over each side's recent matches. The bar runs from 0 to 3.5 goals per game.

Burgos scored
1.4
Burgos conceded
1.0
Sabadell scored
1.2
Sabadell conceded
1.0

Each team to score

Burgos to score79.1%
Burgos 2+ goals46.3%
Sabadell to score51.4%
Sabadell 2+ goals16.4%

By half

Both score in 1st half18.4%
Both score in 2nd half9.0%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

10.7%

0

22.1%

1

27.1%

2

20.3%

3

11.6%

4

7.7%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

BurgosBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 3/5
SabadellBTTS 3/5Over 2.5 2/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

BurgosBurgosLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 0-1

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

SabadellSabadellLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
W
Win · 3-1
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Match outlook

PickBurgos56.9%
Draw26.4%
Sabadell16.6%

The model leans Burgos to win.

See the full prediction

Both Teams to Score accuracy

How our Both Teams to Score calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

53.4%Best Both Teams to Score call, hit rate
0.0218Calibration error
72,238Matches graded

In 26,174 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Both Teams to Score actually happened 49.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Both Teams to Score calls

Our most recent Both Teams to Score calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 50.5%✗ 57.9%✗ 55.0%✗ 58.1%✓ 61.6%✓ 65.1%✓ 51.0%✗ 51.9%✗ 52.7%✗ 56.6%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26No 50.5%Hit
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Yes 57.9%Miss
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26No 55.0%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Yes 58.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Yes 61.6%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Both teams to score · No at 58.8%, its strongest read on the Both Teams to Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Burgos have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded, Sabadell 1.2 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 40.0% for over 2.5 and 67.2% for at least two goals. Burgos have seen both teams score in 3 of their last 5, Sabadell in 3 of 5. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 40.0% for three or more goals and 67.2% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. Given Burgos favoured at 56.9%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

56.9%Favoured: Burgos
41.2%Both Teams to Score
40.0%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 58.8% on Both Teams to Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 40.0% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBurgos are the model’s pick on the result at 56.9%, a lean on probability, never on price.
BurgosBurgos

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

SabadellSabadell
Statistic
Burgos
Sabadell
BTTS rate
55.6%
44.4%

clean sheets
22.2%
44.4%

goals scored per game
1.3
1.1

Bar scales · Recorded rate (%): 0–100 · Goals per game: 0–3. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Did both teams score in Burgos vs Sabadell?
We rated Both Teams to Score at 41.2%. Both teams did not both score, final score 1-0.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Segunda División, Both Teams to Score

BTTS predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.