AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 26 Oct 2026

2. Bundesliga
BraunschweigBraunschweigLDLWL
Full time2-0Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1012:30UK
HannoverHannoverDLWLD

Braunschweig 2-0 Hannover cards: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined65.9%
Under 3.5 cardsBoth teams combined34.1%

Result

Braunschweig2-0Hannover
6 yellow cardsBraunschweig 3, Hannover 3
0 red cardsBraunschweig 0, Hannover 0
Over 3.5No

We called Over 3.5 at 65.9% and it landed (6 in the match). We called No at 84.0% and it landed (0 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 3.5 cards65.9%

Match referee

The referee's own averages across every completed match with this referee in our data. A rate needs at least 5 matches with that figure. Previous referees are never used to guess an appointment.

Tobias Reichel

Recorded match referee.

Tobias Reichel in our data
Per match All matches 2026/27
Matches 18 3
Goals 2.94 Not available
Yellow cards 3.78 Not available
Red cards 0.11 Not available
Corners 9.8 Not available
Fouls 22.4 Not available
Both teams scored 56% Not available
Over 2.5 goals 44% Not available
Home wins 67% Not available
Latest 10 matches
Date Match Score Goals BTTS Yellow Red Corners Fouls
25 Oct 2026 Braunschweig vs Hannover 2-0 2 No 6 0 12 31
10 Oct 2026 Union Berlin vs ElversbergBundesliga 1-0 1 No 3 0 10 23
6 Sep 2026 Hamburg vs MainzBundesliga 0-5 5 No 4 0 9 33
9 May 2026 Augsburg vs M'gladbachBundesliga 3-1 4 Yes 4 0 4 20
12 Apr 2026 FC Koln vs Werder BremenBundesliga 3-1 4 Yes 5 1 13 23
14 Mar 2026 Hoffenheim vs WolfsburgBundesliga 1-1 2 Yes 3 0 20 20
6 Mar 2026 Schalke 04 vs Bielefeld 1-0 1 No 2 0 11 20
21 Feb 2026 Bayern Munich vs Ein FrankfurtBundesliga 3-2 5 Yes 3 0 10 19
14 Feb 2026 Kaiserslautern vs Greuther Furth 1-0 1 No 5 0 7 28
24 Jan 2026 Leverkusen vs Werder BremenBundesliga 1-0 1 No 5 0 10 15

Cards (bookings)

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Yellow-card estimates use recorded match data; bookmaker settlement rules may differ, these are the model total-booking probabilities for Braunschweig vs Hannover. It tips Hannover for the most cards.

Total cards

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
2.5 cards 82.7% 17.3%
3.5 cards 65.9% 34.1%
4.5 cards 46.9% 53.1%
5.5 cards 29.8% 70.2%

Who picks up more cards

Braunschweig
34.9%
Level
19.2%
Hannover
45.8%

Team cards lines

Braunschweig

Over 1.5
62.1%
Over 2.5
35.1%

Hannover

Over 1.5
69.2%
Over 2.5
43.1%

Card handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Braunschweig's; Hannover gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Braunschweig line Braunschweig Hannover
-1.5 19.1% 80.9%
-0.5 34.9% 65.1%
+0.5 54.2% 45.8%
+1.5 72.3% 27.7%

Red card

Any red card16.1%
Braunschweig red card11.0%
Hannover red card5.7%

Fouls

Line Over Under
20.5 fouls 71.4% 28.6%
22.5 fouls 57.6% 42.4%
24.5 fouls 43.3% 56.7%
BraunschweigBraunschweig

Card trends

2026/27 · Recorded results. At this venue means Braunschweig at home and Hannover away. A rate appears only after five matches with the figure, three for the home or away split; a missing value is never zero.

HannoverHannover
Statistic
Braunschweig
Hannover
Yellow cards per game
2.6
2.2

First-half yellow cards per game
0.8
1.3

Second-half yellow cards per game
1.8
0.8

Matches with card data
1
1

Bar scales · Cards per game: 0–5. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

Cards accuracy

How our Cards calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

61.4%Best Cards call, hit rate
0.0222Calibration error
50,939Matches graded

In 10,239 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Cards actually happened 65.7% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Cards calls

Our most recent Cards calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 70.8%✓ 59.6%✓ 74.0%✗ 68.1%✓ 61.1%✓ 73.2%✓ 52.7%✓ 56.5%✗ 50.6%✗ 79.2%
6 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Over 3.5 70.8%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Under 3.5 59.6%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Over 3.5 74.0%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 3.5 68.1%Miss
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 3.5 61.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 3.5 cards at 65.9%, its strongest read on the Cards market. Line by line, the read runs from 82.7% for over 2.5 to 29.8% for over 5.5, with over 4.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.9%. Between the two sides, Hannover are the model’s pick to pick up more cards at 45.8%, with a level count at 19.2%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Braunschweig over 1.5 cards sits at 62.1% and Hannover at 69.2%. A red card for either side is rated at 16.1% (Braunschweig 11.0%, Hannover 5.7%).

65.9%Over 3.5 cards
16.1%Any red card
45.8%Most cards: Hannover
62.1%Braunschweig over 1.5 cards
69.2%Hannover over 1.5 cards
57.6%Over 22.5 fouls

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 65.9% on Cards. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The FlashpointAny red card is rated at 16.1%, a low-probability event, but one that reshapes every line when it lands.
The DisciplinarianHannover are the pick to collect more cards at 45.8%, bookings follow the side defending under pressure.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 4.5 cards: over sits at 46.9%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
BraunschweigBraunschweig

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

HannoverHannover
Statistic
Braunschweig
Hannover
fouls per game
9.8
11.3

Bar scales · Fouls per game: 0–20. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many cards in Braunschweig vs Hannover?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 3.5 total cards at 65.9% for Braunschweig vs Hannover.
Will there be a red card in Braunschweig vs Hannover?
Before kickoff, the model rated a red card for either side at 16.1%.
Which team will pick up more cards in Braunschweig vs Hannover?
Before kickoff, the model rated Hannover to pick up more cards at 45.8%, with a level count at 19.2%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

2. BundesligaBraunschweig fixtures and statsHannover fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.