2. Bundesliga
BochumBochumWLWDL
Full time0-1Sun, 11 Oct 202611/1012:30UK
BielefeldBielefeldWLDLD

Bochum 0-1 Bielefeld corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined55.5%
Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined44.5%

Result

Bochum0-1Bielefeld
10 cornersBochum 6, Bielefeld 4
Over 9.5

We called Over 9.5 at 55.5% and it landed (10 in the match).

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 9.5 corners55.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Bochum.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 78.0% 22.0%
8.5 corners 67.3% 32.7%
9.5 corners 55.5% 44.5%
10.5 corners 43.7% 56.3%
11.5 corners 32.8% 67.2%
12.5 corners 23.4% 76.6%

Who wins the corner count

Bochum
47.6%
Level
10.9%
Bielefeld
41.6%

Team corners lines

Bochum

Over 3.5
73.3%
Over 4.5
57.6%
Over 5.5
42.0%

Bielefeld

Over 3.5
69.6%
Over 4.5
53.2%
Over 5.5
37.5%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Bochum's; Bielefeld gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Bochum line Bochum Bielefeld
-1.5 36.9% 63.1%
-0.5 47.6% 52.4%
+0.5 58.4% 41.6%
+1.5 68.7% 31.3%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 24,028 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.2% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 55.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 78.0% for over 7.5 to 23.4% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.5%. On the corner count, Bochum are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 47.6%, with a level count at 10.9%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, Bochum over 4.5 corners sits at 57.6% and Bielefeld at 53.2%. This season Bochum have averaged 6.0 corners won a game and Bielefeld 6.2.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

55.5%Over 9.5 corners
47.6%Most corners: Bochum
57.6%Bochum over 4.5 corners
53.2%Bielefeld over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 55.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderBochum are the pick to win the corner count at 47.6%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 9.5 corners: over sits at 55.5%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
BochumBochum

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

BielefeldBielefeld
Statistic
Bochum
Bielefeld
corners won per game
6.0
6.2

corners conceded per game
4.2
5.7

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in Bochum vs Bielefeld?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 55.5% for Bochum vs Bielefeld.
Which team will win the corner count in Bochum vs Bielefeld?
Before kickoff, the model rated Bochum to win the corner count at 47.6%, with a level count at 10.9%.
How many corners do Bochum and Bielefeld average this season?
Bochum have won 6.0 corners a game this season and Bielefeld 6.2.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More 2. Bundesliga, Corners

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.