Austrian Bundesliga
Austria ViennaAustria ViennaWDLLL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1116:00UK
SK RapidSK RapidWWWWW

Austria Vienna vs SK Rapid over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined57.6%
Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined42.4%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 2.5 goals57.6%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Model leanOver 2.557.6%
Under 2.542.4%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 94.5% 5.6%
1.5 goals 80.6% 19.4%
2.5 goals 57.6% 42.4%
3.5 goals 35.2% 64.8%
4.5 goals 18.4% 81.6%
5.5 goals 8.3% 91.7%

Team goal lines

Austria Vienna over 0.5
71.2%
Austria Vienna over 1.5
35.3%
Austria Vienna over 2.5
13.0%
SK Rapid over 0.5
82.6%
SK Rapid over 1.5
52.2%
SK Rapid over 2.5
25.6%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.6%

0

13.9%

1

23.0%

2

22.4%

3

16.8%

4

17.3%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Austria ViennaBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5
SK RapidBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Austria ViennaAustriaLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
D
Draw · 2-2
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 2-3
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

SK RapidSK RapidLast 5
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 5-1

5 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Austria ViennaAustria wins
1Draws
1SK RapidSK Rapid wins
2.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
SK RapidSK Rapid
0 – 2
Austria ViennaAustria
Austria ViennaAustria
1 – 1
SK RapidSK Rapid
Austria ViennaAustria
2 – 0
SK RapidSK Rapid
SK RapidSK Rapid
1 – 3
Austria ViennaAustria
Austria ViennaAustria
1 – 2
SK RapidSK Rapid

Match outlook

Austria Vienna26.7%
Draw24.6%
PickSK Rapid48.8%

The model leans SK Rapid to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.5%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0205Calibration error
77,694Matches graded

In 26,497 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 54.6% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 30 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 63.1%✗ 52.8%✗ 66.1%✓ 51.7%✗ 51.7%✗ 54.7%✓ 63.3%✗ 58.2%✓ 56.7%✗ 56.5%
3 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 63.1%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Under 52.8%Miss
Hammarby vs Sirius2026-10-29Over 66.1%Miss
Kalmar vs GAIS2026-10-29Under 51.7%Hit
Orgryte vs Mjallby2026-10-29Under 51.7%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 2.5 goals at 57.6%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. Recent output points the same way: Austria Vienna have averaged 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded, SK Rapid 3.2 and 0.4 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 57.6% for over 2.5 and 80.6% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. Austria Vienna have gone over 2.5 in 4 of their last 5, SK Rapid in 4 of 5. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 57.6% for three or more goals and 80.6% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With SK Rapid favoured at 48.8%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

48.8%Favoured: SK Rapid
59.4%Both Teams to Score
57.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 57.6% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 57.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSK Rapid are the model’s pick on the result at 48.8%, a lean on probability, never on price.
Austria ViennaAustria Vienna

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

SK RapidSK Rapid
Statistic
Austria Vienna
SK Rapid
goals scored per game
1.0
2.9

goals conceded per game
2.0
0.9

Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
77.8%

1st-half goals per game
0.4
1.6

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Austria Vienna vs SK Rapid?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 57.6% for Austria Vienna vs SK Rapid.
How often have Austria Vienna gone over 2.5 recently?
Austria Vienna have gone over 2.5 in 4 of their last 5, SK Rapid in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Austrian Bundesliga, Over / Under 2.5 Goals

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.