Austrian Bundesliga
Grazer AKGrazer AKWDDLD
Fri, 30 Oct 202630/1018:30UK
HartbergHartbergDDWLW

Grazer AK vs Hartberg over / under 2.5 goals prediction

The listed kick-off has passed. We have not verified the final result or a revised fixture status. This is a stored prediction, not a current betting opportunity.

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined53.3%
Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined46.7%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 2.5 goals53.3%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Model leanOver 2.553.3%
Under 2.546.7%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 93.4% 6.6%
1.5 goals 77.7% 22.3%
2.5 goals 53.3% 46.7%
3.5 goals 31.1% 68.9%
4.5 goals 15.4% 84.6%
5.5 goals 6.6% 93.4%

Team goal lines

Grazer AK over 0.5
75.8%
Grazer AK over 1.5
41.5%
Grazer AK over 2.5
17.1%
Hartberg over 0.5
75.1%
Hartberg over 1.5
40.5%
Hartberg over 2.5
16.5%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.6%

0

15.7%

1

24.3%

2

22.3%

3

15.7%

4

14.8%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

Grazer AKBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 3/5
HartbergBTTS 4/5Over 2.5 4/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Grazer AKGrazer AKLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 1-6
D
Draw · 1-1

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

HartbergHartbergLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
D
Draw · 3-3
W
Win · 4-3
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 1-0

2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Grazer AKGrazer AK wins
2Draws
3HartbergHartberg wins
1.8Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
HartbergHartberg
1 – 0
Grazer AKGrazer AK
Grazer AKGrazer AK
0 – 0
HartbergHartberg
HartbergHartberg
1 – 1
Grazer AKGrazer AK
Grazer AKGrazer AK
0 – 3
HartbergHartberg
Grazer AKGrazer AK
0 – 3
HartbergHartberg

Match outlook

PickGrazer AK37.4%
Draw26.4%
Hartberg36.2%

The model leans Grazer AK to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.0189Calibration error
72,279Matches graded

In 24,272 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 54.4% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✓ 59.3%✗ 59.0%✓ 55.4%✓ 59.5%✓ 52.1%✗ 56.9%✓ 56.0%✗ 57.7%✓ 65.3%✓ 53.7%
7 of 10 recent calls hit.
Elversberg vs Mainz2026-10-30Over 59.3%Hit
Villarreal vs Espanol2026-10-30Over 59.0%Miss
Le Havre vs Paris SG2026-10-30Over 55.4%Hit
Nice vs Rennes2026-10-30Over 59.5%Hit
Lille vs Lens2026-10-30Under 52.1%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 2.5 goals at 53.3%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. The goals picture is built on form: Grazer AK have averaged 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded, Hartberg 2.2 and 2.2 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 53.3% for over 2.5 and 77.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 1.8 goals a game. Grazer AK have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, Hartberg in 4 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 53.3% for three or more goals and 77.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Grazer AK favoured at 37.4%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

37.4%Favoured: Grazer AK
57.6%Both Teams to Score
53.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 53.3% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 53.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutGrazer AK are the model’s pick on the result at 37.4%, game state shapes how this market plays out.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
Grazer AKGrazer AK

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

HartbergHartberg
Statistic
Grazer AK
Hartberg
goals scored per game
0.8
1.7

goals conceded per game
2.4
2.1

Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%

1st-half goals per game
0.6
0.7

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Grazer AK vs Hartberg?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 53.3% for Grazer AK vs Hartberg.
How often have Grazer AK gone over 2.5 recently?
Grazer AK have gone over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5, Hartberg in 4 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

All over / under 2.5 goals predictions

Over 2.5 goals predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.