Super League Greece
AtromitosAtromitosDDLLL
Mon, 2 Nov 20262/1116:00UK
Volos NFCVolos NFCLLLDL

Atromitos vs Volos NFC shots prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 24.5 shotsBoth teams combined59.9%
Over 24.5 shotsBoth teams combined40.1%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 24.5 shots40.1%

Shots prediction

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Shot volume tracks territory and game state more than the scoreline, below are the model total-shot probabilities. The model leans to Atromitos.

What the model expects

The average number of shots and shots on target each team takes in the model's own distribution for this match, the same distribution the lines below come from. It is an average, not a betting line, and it is a model estimate, not a recorded result.

Treat as a range

Model expected shots and shots on target, Atromitos vs Volos NFC
Model expects Shots On target
Atromitos 12.9 4.5
Volos NFC 10.2 3.6
Both teams 23.1 8.1

Total shots

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
22.5 shots 51.5% 48.5%
24.5 shots 40.1% 59.9%
26.5 shots 29.7% 70.3%
28.5 shots 20.9% 79.1%

Who takes more shots

Atromitos
62.7%
Level
5.5%
Volos NFC
31.8%

Team shots lines

Atromitos

Over 10.5
65.5%
Over 12.5
50.1%
Over 14.5
35.7%

Volos NFC

Over 10.5
43.5%
Over 12.5
28.1%
Over 14.5
16.7%

Shots on target

Model probabilities for shots on target, both teams combined in the ladder and per team below. A shot on target is one the goalkeeper has to deal with, or a goal.

Treat as a range

Line Over Under
6.5 shots on target 64.9% 35.1%
7.5 shots on target 52.8% 47.2%
8.5 shots on target 41.2% 58.9%
9.5 shots on target 30.7% 69.3%

Who has more on target

Atromitos
53.7%
Level
12.1%
Volos NFC
34.2%

Team shots on target lines

Atromitos

Over 3.5
60.2%
Over 4.5
44.1%
Over 5.5
30.3%

Volos NFC

Over 3.5
46.4%
Over 4.5
30.3%
Over 5.5
18.3%

Shot handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Atromitos's; Volos NFC gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Atromitos line Atromitos Volos NFC
-4.5 39.2% 60.8%
-2.5 51.0% 49.0%
-0.5 62.7% 37.3%
+0.5 68.3% 31.8%

Shots stats

Recorded results from league matches, not predictions. A missing value is shown as a dot, never as zero.

This season: average per game in this season's league matches. A value appears only after five matches with shot data; Matches shows how many there were. More shots is the share of matches in which the team took more shots than its opponent.

At home and away: Atromitos in their home matches and Volos NFC in their away matches this season, the venue each side plays at in this match. A split appears after three matches at that venue.

By half: shots before and after the break, per game. In the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1 the half split comes from Understat and is used only when the shots before the break match the half-time score; elsewhere it comes from the data provider's half-by-half statistics and is used only when both halves add up to the full-time count. Shots on target per half come from the data provider. The halves can therefore have fewer matches, shown in brackets, than the full-match averages.

By half, at home and away: the same half split, using only Atromitos's home matches and Volos NFC's away matches.

Last six league matches: the most recent six league matches with shot data, which can include last season. Shown only with at least five matches.

Last six at home and away: Atromitos's last six home league matches and Volos NFC's last six away league matches, across seasons when needed.

AtromitosAtromitos

Recorded 2026/27

Volos NFCVolos NFC
This season
Statistic
Atromitos
Volos NFC
Shots per game
11.0
10.1

Shots faced per game
13.3
14.1

Shots on target per game
2.7
2.9

On target faced per game
5.3
3.9

Matches with more shots
33.3%
42.9%

Matches
6
7
Atromitos at home, Volos NFC away
Statistic
Atromitos
Volos NFC
Shots per game
13.3
9.0

Shots faced per game
10.7
15.3

Shots on target per game
3.3
3.0

On target faced per game
3.3
5.0

Matches
3
4
By half, this season
Statistic
Atromitos
Volos NFC
1st-half shots
4.3
4.7

2nd-half shots
6.7
6.2

1st-half shots faced
4.8
6.7

2nd-half shots faced
8.5
7.0

1st-half shots on target
1.5
0.8

2nd-half shots on target
1.2
1.8

1st-half on target faced
2.3
2.2

2nd-half on target faced
3.0
2.0

Matches
6
6
By half, at home and away
Statistic
Atromitos
Volos NFC
1st-half shots
4.7
3.0

2nd-half shots
8.7
6.0

1st-half shots faced
4.0
7.3

2nd-half shots faced
6.7
8.0

1st-half shots on target
1.3
0.8

2nd-half shots on target
2.0
2.3

1st-half on target faced
1.7
2.5

2nd-half on target faced
1.7
2.5

Matches
3
4
Last six league matches
Statistic
Atromitos
Volos NFC
Shots per game
11.0
7.8

Shots faced per game
11.2
17.2

Shots on target per game
3.0
2.7

On target faced per game
4.3
5.0

Matches
6
6
Last six at home and away
Statistic
Atromitos
Volos NFC
Shots per game
13.0
10.5

Shots faced per game
10.0
15.5

Shots on target per game
5.0
3.7

On target faced per game
3.0
5.5

Matches
6
6

League average per match: 25.6 shots, 8.1 on target, 11.7 in the 1st half, 13.9 in the 2nd half.

Shots accuracy

How our Shots calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

58.7%Best Shots call, hit rate
0.0367Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 17,015 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Shots actually happened 47.3% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Shots calls

Our most recent Shots calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 54.7%✗ 50.1%✓ 53.8%✗ 51.6%✗ 52.8%✗ 55.8%✗ 57.3%✗ 54.2%✗ 55.6%✗ 55.0%
1 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 24.5 54.7%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Over 24.5 50.1%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 24.5 53.8%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 24.5 51.6%Miss
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 24.5 52.8%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 24.5 shots at 40.1%, its strongest read on the Shots market. The total-shots ladder runs from 51.5% for over 22.5 to 20.9% for over 28.5, with over 22.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 51.5%. Between the two sides, Atromitos are the model’s pick to have more shots at 62.7%, with a level count at 5.5%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Atromitos over 12.5 shots sits at 50.1% and Volos NFC at 28.1%. This season Atromitos have averaged 11.0 shots a game and Volos NFC 10.1. Atromitos take 4.3 shots before half-time and 6.7 after, Volos NFC 4.7 and 6.2.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

40.1%Over 24.5 shots
62.7%Most shots: Atromitos
50.1%Atromitos over 12.5 shots
28.1%Volos NFC over 12.5 shots
52.8%Over 7.5 on target

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 40.1% on Shots. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Volume ReaderAtromitos are the pick to have more shots at 62.7%, shot volume follows the side that keeps the ball in the final third.
The Clock WatcherAtromitos average 4.3 shots in the first half and 6.7 in the second, so their volume builds as the game opens up.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 22.5 shots: over sits at 51.5%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

FAQ

How many shots in Atromitos vs Volos NFC?
The model expects about 12.9 shots for Atromitos and 10.2 for Volos NFC, 23.1 in total, and rates over 24.5 total shots at 40.1%.
How many shots on target in Atromitos vs Volos NFC?
The model expects about 4.5 shots on target for Atromitos and 3.6 for Volos NFC, and rates over 7.5 shots on target at 52.8%.
Which team will have more shots in Atromitos vs Volos NFC?
The model rates Atromitos to take more shots at 62.7%.
How many shots do Volos NFC take away from home?
Volos NFC have taken 9.0 shots per game and faced 15.3 across 4 recorded away league matches this season.
Do Atromitos shoot more in the first or second half?
Atromitos average 4.3 shots before half-time and 6.7 after, this season.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.