Segunda División
AlbaceteAlbaceteLLLLW
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1020:00UK
SabadellSabadellDDWLD

Albacete vs Sabadell correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.3%
1-0 correct score11%
2-1 correct score9.6%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.3%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Albacete goals, columns = Sabadell goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.3%
  2. 1-011.0%
  3. 2-19.6%
  4. 2-09.5%
  5. 0-07.7%
  6. 0-16.6%
  7. 1-25.9%
  8. 3-15.2%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7% 6.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11% 12.3% 5.9% 2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Albacete · Columns: Sabadell

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.7%

0

17.6%

1

25.4%

2

21.9%

3

14.5%

4

12.2%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

AlbaceteAlbaceteLast 5
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 1-3
L
Loss · 0-5
L
Loss · 1-2
W
Win · 2-0

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

SabadellSabadellLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 0-0
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-1
D
Draw · 1-1

1 win · 3 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1AlbaceteAlbacete wins
2Draws
1SabadellSabadell wins
2.5Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
SabadellSabadell
0 – 0
AlbaceteAlbacete
AlbaceteAlbacete
3 – 0
SabadellSabadell
AlbaceteAlbacete
0 – 0
SabadellSabadell
SabadellSabadell
6 – 1
AlbaceteAlbacete

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 12.3% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Albacete have averaged 0.8 scored and 2.4 conceded, Sabadell 0.8 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 49.4% for over 2.5 and 74.8% for at least two goals. Their last 4 meetings have averaged 2.5 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 49.4% for three or more goals and 74.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Albacete favoured at 51.5%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

51.5%Favoured: Albacete
51.8%Both Teams to Score
49.4%Over 2.5 goals

We publish the model, not a sure thing. The track record is public, misses included.

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 49.4% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutAlbacete are the model’s pick on the result at 51.5%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Albacete vs Sabadell?
The model's most likely scoreline for Albacete vs Sabadell is 1-1 at 12.3%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.