AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 13 Oct 2026

Super League Greece
AEKAEKWDWDW
Full time3-0Sat, 10 Oct 202610/1017:30UK
OFI CreteOFI CreteWLWWD

AEK 3-0 OFI Crete corners: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Under 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined65.5%
Over 9.5 cornersBoth teams combined34.5%

Result

AEK3-0OFI Crete
13 cornersAEK 9, OFI Crete 4
Under 9.5

We called Under 9.5 at 65.5% and it missed (13 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 9.5 corners34.5%

Corners

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

The corners market rewards teams that camp in the final third, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for AEK.

Total corners

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
7.5 corners 59.6% 40.4%
8.5 corners 46.6% 53.4%
9.5 corners 34.5% 65.5%
10.5 corners 24.2% 75.8%
11.5 corners 16.1% 84.0%
12.5 corners 10.1% 89.9%

Who wins the corner count

AEK
62.9%
Level
10.4%
OFI Crete
26.7%

Team corners lines

AEK

Over 3.5
70.3%
Over 4.5
54.7%
Over 5.5
39.6%

OFI Crete

Over 3.5
42.8%
Over 4.5
26.5%
Over 5.5
15.1%

Corner handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is AEK's; OFI Crete gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

AEK line AEK OFI Crete
-3.5 29.7% 70.3%
-1.5 51.6% 48.4%
-0.5 62.9% 37.1%
+0.5 73.3% 26.7%

Corners accuracy

How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

54.0%Best Corners call, hit rate
0.0095Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 3,460 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Corners calls

Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.1%✓ 53.5%✓ 50.6%✓ 53.9%✗ 51.1%✗ 50.7%✗ 58.3%✓ 55.7%✗ 59.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 9.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 9.5 52.1%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.5%Hit
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Under 9.5 50.6%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Under 9.5 53.9%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 34.5%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 59.6% for over 7.5 to 10.1% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.6%. Head to head on corners, AEK are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 62.9%, with a level count at 10.4%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, AEK over 4.5 corners sits at 54.7% and OFI Crete at 26.5%. This season AEK have averaged 3.8 corners won a game and OFI Crete 2.8.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.

34.5%Over 9.5 corners
62.9%Most corners: AEK
54.7%AEK over 4.5 corners
26.5%OFI Crete over 4.5 corners
50.0%Odd corner total

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 34.5% on Corners. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Territory ReaderAEK are the pick to win the corner count at 62.9%, the count usually goes the way of the side doing the attacking.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 8.5 corners: over sits at 46.6%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
AEKAEK

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

OFI CreteOFI Crete
Statistic
AEK
OFI Crete
corners won per game
3.8
2.8

corners conceded per game
3.0
4.8

Bar scales · Corners per game: 0–10. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

How many corners in AEK vs OFI Crete?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 9.5 total corners at 34.5% for AEK vs OFI Crete.
Which team will win the corner count in AEK vs OFI Crete?
Before kickoff, the model rated AEK to win the corner count at 62.9%, with a level count at 10.4%.
How many corners do AEK and OFI Crete average this season?
AEK have won 3.8 corners a game this season and OFI Crete 2.8.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Super League Greece, Corners

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Corner predictions today

Related

Super League GreeceAEK fixtures and statsOFI Crete fixtures and statsTrack record

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.