Super League Greece
AEKAEKWDWWW
Sun, 8 Nov 20268/1115:00UK
LevadeiakosLevadeiakosDLLDD

AEK vs Levadeiakos over / under 2.5 goals prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined52.3%
Under 2.5 goalsBoth teams combined47.7%

Model read

Close to a coin-flip, barely a lean.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Lean

Over 2.5 goals52.3%

Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Model leanOver 2.552.3%
Under 2.547.7%

Total goals, every line

Both teams combined. Over means more goals than the line, Under means fewer.

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 93.2% 6.8%
1.5 goals 76.8% 23.2%
2.5 goals 52.3% 47.7%
3.5 goals 30.2% 69.8%
4.5 goals 14.8% 85.2%
5.5 goals 6.3% 93.7%

Team goal lines

AEK over 0.5
86.8%
AEK over 1.5
60.2%
AEK over 2.5
33.3%
Levadeiakos over 0.5
52.1%
Levadeiakos over 1.5
16.9%
Levadeiakos over 2.5
3.9%

First-half goals

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 65.3% 34.7%
1.5 goals 28.5% 71.5%
2.5 goals 9.1% 90.9%

Second-half goals

Line Over Under
0.5 goals 85.5% 14.5%
1.5 goals 57.5% 42.5%
2.5 goals 30.4% 69.6%

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

6.8%

0

16.4%

1

24.5%

2

22.2%

3

15.4%

4

13.0%

5+

Recent trends

How often both teams scored and the match went over 2.5 in each side's recent games.

AEKBTTS 2/5Over 2.5 4/5
LevadeiakosBTTS 0/5Over 2.5 0/5

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

AEKAEKLast 5
W
Win · 5-0
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 5-0

4 wins · 1 draw · 0 losses

LevadeiakosLevadeiakosLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 0-0
D
Draw · 0-0

0 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4AEKAEK wins
1Draws
0LevadeiakosLevadeiakos wins
2.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
AEKAEK
4 – 0
LevadeiakosLevadeiakos
LevadeiakosLevadeiakos
0 – 1
AEKAEK
AEKAEK
1 – 1
LevadeiakosLevadeiakos
LevadeiakosLevadeiakos
0 – 3
AEKAEK
AEKAEK
3 – 0
LevadeiakosLevadeiakos

Match outlook

PickAEK67.2%
Draw20.8%
Levadeiakos12.1%

The model leans AEK to win.

See the full prediction

Over / Under 2.5 Goals accuracy

How our Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

55.6%Best Over / Under 2.5 Goals call, hit rate
0.019Calibration error
72,374Matches graded

In 24,315 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Over / Under 2.5 Goals actually happened 54.4% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 1 Nov 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls

Our most recent Over / Under 2.5 Goals calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 68.6%✗ 50.6%✗ 59.7%✓ 55.9%✓ 57.7%✗ 53.0%✓ 54.4%✗ 61.2%✓ 53.0%✗ 54.9%
4 of 10 recent calls hit.
Getafe vs Sevilla2026-11-01Under 68.6%Miss
Como vs Venezia2026-11-01Over 50.6%Miss
Zwolle vs Den Haag2026-11-01Over 59.7%Miss
Excelsior vs Twente2026-11-01Over 55.9%Hit
Telstar vs Utrecht2026-11-01Over 57.7%Hit
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 2.5 goals at 52.3%, its strongest read on the Over / Under 2.5 Goals market. The goals picture is built on form: AEK have averaged 3.2 scored and 0.4 conceded, Levadeiakos 0.0 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 52.3% for over 2.5 and 76.8% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. AEK have gone over 2.5 in 4 of their last 5, Levadeiakos in 0 of 5. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 52.3% for three or more goals and 76.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With AEK favoured at 67.2%, a one-sided game can cap the goals at one end.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

67.2%Favoured: AEK
45.7%Both Teams to Score
52.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 52.3% on Over / Under 2.5 Goals. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a balanced game from the 52.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutAEK are the model’s pick on the result at 67.2%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.
AEKAEK

This season

2026/27 · Recorded results.

LevadeiakosLevadeiakos
Statistic
AEK
Levadeiakos
goals scored per game
3.0
0.0

goals conceded per game
0.4
1.4

Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
12.5%

1st-half goals per game
0.8
0.0

Bar scales · Goals per game: 0–3 · Recorded rate (%): 0–100. Each team uses the same scale for each metric.

FAQ

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AEK vs Levadeiakos?
Our model rates Over 2.5 goals at 52.3% for AEK vs Levadeiakos.
Will there be a first-half goal in AEK vs Levadeiakos?
The model rates at least one goal before half-time at 65.3%.
How often have AEK gone over 2.5 recently?
AEK have gone over 2.5 in 4 of their last 5, Levadeiakos in 0 of 5.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

More Super League Greece, Over / Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 goals predictions today

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.