Austrian Bundesliga
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger ACLLLLL
Sun, 1 Nov 20261/1113:30UK
Sturm GrazSturm GrazWLWWD

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.7%
0-1 correct score10.8%
1-2 correct score9.3%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.7%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Wolfsberger AC goals, columns = Sturm Graz goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.7%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.7%
  2. 0-110.8%
  3. 1-29.3%
  4. 0-28.7%
  5. 0-08.0%
  6. 1-07.3%
  7. 2-16.5%
  8. 2-25.0%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8% 10.8% 8.7% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
1 7.3% 12.7% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.2% 6.5% 5% 2.6% 1% 0.3%
3 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Wolfsberger AC · Columns: Sturm Graz

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

8.0%

0

18.0%

1

25.7%

2

21.8%

3

14.2%

4

11.7%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Wolfsberger ACWolfsbergerLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-4
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 0-2
L
Loss · 0-1

0 wins · 0 draws · 5 losses

Sturm GrazSturm GrazLast 5
W
Win · 2-1
L
Loss · 0-3
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 6-1
D
Draw · 2-2

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger wins
3Draws
0Sturm GrazSturm Graz wins
3.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger
2 – 2
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1 – 3
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1 – 1
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger
1 – 1
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger
3 – 0
Sturm GrazSturm Graz

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 12.7% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Wolfsberger AC have averaged 0.2 scored and 2.6 conceded, Sturm Graz 2.4 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 48.3% for over 2.5 and 74.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.0 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 48.3% for three or more goals and 74.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Sturm Graz favoured at 47.5%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

47.5%Favoured: Sturm Graz
52.1%Both Teams to Score
48.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees a balanced game from the 48.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSturm Graz are the model’s pick on the result at 47.5%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
The model's most likely scoreline for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz is 1-1 at 12.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

All correct score predictions

Correct score predictions today

Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.