Pro League
WesterloWesterloDWWWW
Full time4-4Sat, 24 Oct 202624/1019:45UK
BeverenBeverenLWWLL

Westerlo 4-4 Beveren correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score9.9%
2-1 correct score9.9%
2-0 correct score8.9%

Result

Westerlo4-4Beveren

Final score 4-4. The model gave that exact scoreline 0.2%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 9.9%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Westerlo goals, columns = Beveren goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.9%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-19.9%
  2. 2-19.9%
  3. 2-08.9%
  4. 1-08.0%
  5. 3-16.9%
  6. 3-06.2%
  7. 2-25.5%
  8. 1-25.3%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5% 4.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8% 9.9% 5.3% 2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.9% 5.5% 2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.6% 2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Westerlo · Columns: Beveren

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

4.5%

0

12.1%

1

21.3%

2

22.2%

3

17.8%

4

19.9%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

WesterloWesterloLast 5
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 4-0
W
Win · 4-2
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 5-1

4 wins · 1 draw · 0 losses

BeverenBeverenLast 5
L
Loss · 0-4
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 0-1
L
Loss · 1-3

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

No recorded head-to-head results available.

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 9.9% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. The goals picture is built on form: Westerlo have averaged 3.4 scored and 1.0 conceded, Beveren 1.2 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 62.1% for over 2.5 and 83.4% for at least two goals. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 62.1% for three or more goals and 83.4% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Westerlo favoured at 59.4%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.

59.4%Favoured: Westerlo
59.3%Both Teams to Score
62.1%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 62.1% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutWesterlo are the model’s pick on the result at 59.4%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

FAQ

What was the score in Westerlo vs Beveren?
Westerlo vs Beveren finished 4-4. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 9.9%; it gave the actual 4-4 a 0.2% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.