AI-Powered Match Intelligence· How our model works· updated 13 Oct 2026

Pro League
WesterloWesterloLDWWW
Full time5-1Sun, 11 Oct 202611/1017:30UK
AntwerpAntwerpDLLLL

Westerlo 5-1 Antwerp shots: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 24.5 shotsBoth teams combined60.3%
Under 24.5 shotsBoth teams combined39.7%

Result

Westerlo5-1Antwerp
Shots in this match: Westerlo vs Antwerp
This match Westerlo Antwerp Total
Shots 14 13 27
Shots on target 6 3 9
Over 24.5Over 7.5

We called Over 24.5 at 60.3% and it landed (27 in the match). We called Over 7.5 at 69.3% and it landed (9 in the match).

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 24.5 shots60.3%

Shots prediction

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Total shots follow which side is chasing the game, below are the model total-shot probabilities. It edges Westerlo.

Total shots

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
22.5 shots 71.4% 28.6%
24.5 shots 60.3% 39.7%
26.5 shots 48.6% 51.4%
28.5 shots 37.2% 62.8%

Who takes more shots

Westerlo
62.1%
Level
5.5%
Antwerp
32.4%

Team shots lines

Westerlo

Over 10.5
78.1%
Over 12.5
63.9%
Over 14.5
48.4%

Antwerp

Over 10.5
59.8%
Over 12.5
42.5%
Over 14.5
27.5%

Shots on target

Model probabilities for shots on target, both teams combined in the ladder and per team below. A shot on target is one the goalkeeper has to deal with, or a goal.

Line Over Under
6.5 shots on target 79.6% 20.4%
7.5 shots on target 69.3% 30.7%
8.5 shots on target 57.8% 42.2%
9.5 shots on target 46.2% 53.8%

Who has more on target

Westerlo
52.4%
Level
11.7%
Antwerp
35.9%

Team shots on target lines

Westerlo

Over 3.5
71.0%
Over 4.5
55.0%
Over 5.5
39.6%

Antwerp

Over 3.5
60.5%
Over 4.5
43.1%
Over 5.5
28.2%

Shot handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is Westerlo's; Antwerp gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

Westerlo line Westerlo Antwerp
-4.5 38.7% 61.3%
-2.5 50.5% 49.5%
-0.5 62.1% 37.9%
+0.5 67.7% 32.4%

Shots stats

Recorded results from league matches, not predictions. A missing value is shown as a dot, never as zero.

This season: average per game in this season's league matches. A value appears only after five matches with shot data; Matches shows how many there were. More shots is the share of matches in which the team took more shots than its opponent.

At home and away: Westerlo in their home matches and Antwerp in their away matches this season, the venue each side plays at in this match. A split appears after three matches at that venue.

By half: shots before and after the break, per game. In the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1 the half split comes from Understat and is used only when the shots before the break match the half-time score; elsewhere it comes from the data provider's half-by-half statistics and is used only when both halves add up to the full-time count. Shots on target per half come from the data provider. The halves can therefore have fewer matches, shown in brackets, than the full-match averages.

Last six league matches: the most recent six league matches with shot data, which can include last season. Shown only with at least five matches.

WesterloWesterlo

Recorded 2026/27

AntwerpAntwerp
This season
Statistic
Westerlo
Antwerp
Shots per game
15.3
15.1

Shots faced per game
15.0
17.1

Shots on target per game
5.3
5.4

On target faced per game
5.4
6.9

Westerlo at home, Antwerp away
Statistic
Westerlo
Antwerp
Shots per game
12.7
15.7

Shots faced per game
15.0
19.3

Shots on target per game
5.7
5.3

On target faced per game
7.0
6.3

By half, this season

No verified half-by-half shot data for these teams this season yet.

Last six league matches
Statistic
Westerlo
Antwerp
Shots per game
15.8
14.5

Shots faced per game
14.3
18.2

Matches
6
6

Shots accuracy

How our Shots calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

58.7%Best Shots call, hit rate
0.0366Calibration error
50,938Matches graded

In 2,814 matches we rated like this one (60–70%), Shots actually happened 66.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Shots calls

Our most recent Shots calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 55.9%✓ 52.0%✗ 57.4%✓ 56.9%✗ 58.7%✓ 55.2%✗ 56.2%✓ 65.6%✓ 63.0%✗ 57.5%
5 of 10 recent calls hit.
Sevilla vs Osasuna2026-10-26Under 24.5 55.9%Miss
Paris SG vs Lyon2026-10-26Over 24.5 52.0%Hit
Santa Clara vs Benfica2026-10-26Under 24.5 57.4%Miss
Besiktas vs Buyuksehyr2026-10-26Over 24.5 56.9%Hit
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor2026-10-26Over 24.5 58.7%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Over 24.5 shots at 60.3%, its strongest read on the Shots market. The total-shots ladder runs from 71.4% for over 22.5 to 37.2% for over 28.5, with over 26.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.6%. Head to head on shots, Westerlo are the model’s pick to have more shots at 62.1%, with a level count at 5.5%. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Split by side, Westerlo over 12.5 shots sits at 63.9% and Antwerp at 42.5%. This season Westerlo have averaged 15.3 shots a game and Antwerp 15.1.

Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

60.3%Over 24.5 shots
62.1%Most shots: Westerlo
63.9%Westerlo over 12.5 shots
42.5%Antwerp over 12.5 shots
69.3%Over 7.5 on target

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 60.3% on Shots. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Volume ReaderWesterlo are the pick to have more shots at 62.1%, shot volume follows the side that keeps the ball in the final third.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 26.5 shots: over sits at 48.6%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.
The RealistOver 26.5 is a coin-flip in the model, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

How many shots in Westerlo vs Antwerp?
Before kickoff, the model rated over 24.5 total shots at 60.3% for Westerlo vs Antwerp.
Which team will have more shots in Westerlo vs Antwerp?
Before kickoff, the model rated Westerlo to take more shots at 62.1%.
How many shots do Antwerp take away from home?
Antwerp have taken 15.7 shots per game and faced 19.3 in recorded away league matches this season.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.