Pro League
Waregem vs 
Charleroi Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 53.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 77.9% for over 7.5 to 23.4% for over 12.5, with over 9.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 55.5%. Head to head on corners, Waregem are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 49.0%, with a level count at 10.6%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 77.9% | 22.1% |
| 8.5 corners | 67.2% | 32.8% |
| 9.5 corners | 55.5% | 44.6% |
| 10.5 corners | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| 11.5 corners | 32.7% | 67.3% |
| 12.5 corners | 23.4% | 76.6% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
73.8%
58.4%
43.0%
68.4%
51.9%
36.4%
Corner handicap
| Waregem line | Waregem | Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 38.5% | 61.5% |
| -0.5 | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| +0.5 | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| +1.5 | 69.6% | 30.4% |
This season (2026/27)
Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Waregem.
In-depth analysis
For the team lines, Waregem over 4.5 corners sits at 58.4% and Charleroi at 51.9%. This season Waregem have averaged 4.8 corners won a game and Charleroi 6.2.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Waregem vs Charleroi?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 55.5% for Waregem vs Charleroi.
Which team will win the corner count in Waregem vs Charleroi?
The model rates Waregem to win the corner count at 49.0%, with a level count at 10.6%.
How many corners do Waregem and Charleroi average this season?
Waregem have won 4.8 corners a game this season and Charleroi 6.2.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,691 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.1% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Pro League, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.