Pro League
Beveren vs 
St Truiden Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 55.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Line by line, the read runs from 79.1% for over 7.5 to 24.8% for over 12.5, with over 10.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 45.4%. On the corner count, Beveren are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.3%, with a level count at 10.4%. Calibrated against real results, we show the read, not a sure thing.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 79.1% | 20.9% |
| 8.5 corners | 68.7% | 31.3% |
| 9.5 corners | 57.2% | 42.9% |
| 10.5 corners | 45.4% | 54.6% |
| 11.5 corners | 34.4% | 65.6% |
| 12.5 corners | 24.8% | 75.2% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
76.4%
61.7%
46.5%
67.2%
50.5%
35.1%
Corner handicap
| Beveren line | Beveren | St Truiden |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 41.8% | 58.2% |
| -0.5 | 52.3% | 47.7% |
| +0.5 | 62.7% | 37.3% |
| +1.5 | 72.3% | 27.7% |
This season (2026/27)
Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. The model edges Beveren.
In-depth analysis
For the team lines, Beveren over 4.5 corners sits at 61.7% and St Truiden at 50.5%. This season Beveren have averaged 5.2 corners won a game and St Truiden 5.0.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. Calibration is our edge, not beating the market.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Beveren vs St Truiden?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 57.2% for Beveren vs St Truiden.
Which team will win the corner count in Beveren vs St Truiden?
The model rates Beveren to win the corner count at 52.3%, with a level count at 10.4%.
How many corners do Beveren and St Truiden average this season?
Beveren have won 5.2 corners a game this season and St Truiden 5.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 23,691 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Corners actually happened 54.1% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 12 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Pro League, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.