League Two
WalsallWalsallWDDDW
Full time2-4Mon, 26 Oct 202626/1020:00UK
SalfordSalfordWWWWW

Walsall 2-4 Salford correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score13.7%
1-0 correct score10.7%
0-0 correct score9.7%

Result

Walsall2-4Salford

Final score 2-4. The model gave that exact scoreline 0.5%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 13.7%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Walsall goals, columns = Salford goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-113.7%
  2. 1-010.7%
  3. 0-09.7%
  4. 0-19.7%
  5. 2-18.2%
  6. 1-27.4%
  7. 2-07.2%
  8. 0-25.9%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7% 9.7% 5.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 13.7% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3% 3.5% 2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Walsall · Columns: Salford

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

9.7%

0

20.4%

1

26.7%

2

20.9%

3

12.6%

4

9.4%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

WalsallWalsallLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 3-0

2 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses

SalfordSalfordLast 5
W
Win · 4-1
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 2-1
W
Win · 2-1

5 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3WalsallWalsall wins
1Draws
1SalfordSalford wins
2.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
SalfordSalford
1 – 0
WalsallWalsall
WalsallWalsall
1 – 0
SalfordSalford
WalsallWalsall
2 – 2
SalfordSalford
SalfordSalford
0 – 2
WalsallWalsall
WalsallWalsall
2 – 1
SalfordSalford

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 13.7% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Walsall have averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded, Salford 2.2 and 0.6 over their recent games. That fits a tighter goals environment: 43.2% for over 2.5 and 69.9% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.2 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 43.2% for three or more goals and 69.9% for at least two, painting a lower-scoring picture. With Walsall favoured at 38.4%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

38.4%Favoured: Walsall
49.5%Both Teams to Score
43.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianReads a tighter, lower-scoring game from the 43.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutWalsall are the model’s pick on the result at 38.4%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Walsall vs Salford?
Walsall vs Salford finished 2-4. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.7%; it gave the actual 2-4 a 0.5% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.