Danish Superliga
ViborgViborgWLDWW
Full time1-2Mon, 19 Oct 202619/1018:00UK
MidtjyllandMidtjyllandWDWDW

Viborg 1-2 Midtjylland correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.5%
1-2 correct score9.4%
0-1 correct score7.9%

Result

Viborg1-2Midtjylland

Final score 1-2. The model gave that exact scoreline 9.4%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.5%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Viborg goals, columns = Midtjylland goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.5%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.5%
  2. 1-29.4%
  3. 0-17.9%
  4. 0-27.2%
  5. 2-17.1%
  6. 2-26.1%
  7. 1-05.8%
  8. 0-05.5%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5% 7.9% 7.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
1 5.8% 11.5% 9.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.1% 7.1% 6.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.8% 3.1% 2.6% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Viborg · Columns: Midtjylland

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.5%

0

13.7%

1

22.9%

2

22.4%

3

16.9%

4

17.6%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

ViborgViborgLast 5
W
Win · 3-2
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 4-1
W
Win · 2-0

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

MidtjyllandMidtjyllandLast 5
W
Win · 2-0
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 4-1
D
Draw · 1-1
W
Win · 2-1

3 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1ViborgViborg wins
3Draws
1MidtjyllandMidtjylland wins
3.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
MidtjyllandMidtjylland
3 – 3
ViborgViborg
ViborgViborg
1 – 1
MidtjyllandMidtjylland
ViborgViborg
3 – 3
MidtjyllandMidtjylland
MidtjyllandMidtjylland
2 – 0
ViborgViborg
ViborgViborg
1 – 0
MidtjyllandMidtjylland

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 11.5% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: Viborg have averaged 2.0 scored and 1.2 conceded, Midtjylland 2.2 and 1.0 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 57.9% for over 2.5 and 80.8% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.4 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 57.9% for three or more goals and 80.8% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. With Midtjylland favoured at 46.8%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. What we are good at is getting the percentage right, not at beating the bookmakers.

46.8%Favoured: Midtjylland
60.1%Both Teams to Score
57.9%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 57.9% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutMidtjylland are the model’s pick on the result at 46.8%, context for how the goals may flow.

FAQ

What was the score in Viborg vs Midtjylland?
Viborg vs Midtjylland finished 1-2. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 11.5%; it gave the actual 1-2 a 9.4% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.