Liga I
UTA AradUTA AradWWLWL
Full time1-0Sun, 18 Oct 202618/1016:15UK
CFR ClujCFR ClujDLWLW

UTA Arad 1-0 CFR Cluj correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.9%
1-0 correct score9.5%
2-1 correct score8.9%

Result

UTA Arad1-0CFR Cluj

Final score 1-0. The model gave that exact scoreline 9.5%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.9%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = UTA Arad goals, columns = CFR Cluj goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.9%
  2. 1-09.5%
  3. 2-18.9%
  4. 0-17.8%
  5. 0-07.6%
  6. 1-27.4%
  7. 2-07.4%
  8. 2-25.4%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6% 7.8% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.9% 7.4% 3% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: UTA Arad · Columns: CFR Cluj

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.6%

0

17.3%

1

25.3%

2

22.0%

3

14.6%

4

12.7%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

UTA AradUTA AradLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 5-1
L
Loss · 2-4
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-2

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

CFR ClujCFR ClujLast 5
D
Draw · 0-0
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 3-1
L
Loss · 1-3
W
Win · 1-0

2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1UTA AradUTA Arad wins
2Draws
2CFR ClujCFR Cluj wins
2.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
UTA AradUTA Arad
0 – 1
CFR ClujCFR Cluj
CFR ClujCFR Cluj
1 – 1
UTA AradUTA Arad
UTA AradUTA Arad
1 – 4
CFR ClujCFR Cluj
CFR ClujCFR Cluj
1 – 3
UTA AradUTA Arad
CFR ClujCFR Cluj
0 – 0
UTA AradUTA Arad

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 12.9% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: UTA Arad have averaged 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded, CFR Cluj 1.2 and 1.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 49.8% for over 2.5 and 75.1% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.4 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 49.8% for three or more goals and 75.1% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given UTA Arad favoured at 42.2%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

42.2%Favoured: UTA Arad
54.4%Both Teams to Score
49.8%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 49.8% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutUTA Arad are the model’s pick on the result at 42.2%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in UTA Arad vs CFR Cluj?
UTA Arad vs CFR Cluj finished 1-0. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 12.9%; it gave the actual 1-0 a 9.5% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.