Super League
St. GallenSt. GallenLLWWL
Sat, 31 Oct 202631/1017:00UK
ServetteServetteWWLWW

St. Gallen vs Servette correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score11.7%
2-1 correct score8.6%
1-2 correct score8.2%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.7%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = St. Gallen goals, columns = Servette goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%.

Rather than one score, the model spreads probability across the whole grid, that distribution is the real signal. Darker cells carry more probability.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-111.7%
  2. 2-18.6%
  3. 1-28.2%
  4. 1-06.9%
  5. 0-16.7%
  6. 2-26.4%
  7. 2-05.8%
  8. 0-05.4%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4% 6.7% 5.3% 2.6% 1% 0.3%
1 6.9% 11.7% 8.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.6% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: St. Gallen · Columns: Servette

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.4%

0

13.6%

1

22.8%

2

22.4%

3

16.9%

4

18.0%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

St. GallenSt. GallenLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-4
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 1-0
L
Loss · 0-2

2 wins · 0 draws · 3 losses

ServetteServetteLast 5
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 4-2
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 3-0
W
Win · 2-1

4 wins · 0 draws · 1 loss

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3St. GallenSt. Gallen wins
1Draws
1ServetteServette wins
3.2Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
ServetteServette
0 – 2
St. GallenSt. Gallen
ServetteServette
1 – 1
St. GallenSt. Gallen
St. GallenSt. Gallen
2 – 4
ServetteServette
ServetteServette
1 – 4
St. GallenSt. Gallen
St. GallenSt. Gallen
1 – 0
ServetteServette

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 30 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Most likely · 11.7% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: St. Gallen have averaged 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded, Servette 2.4 and 1.2 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 58.2% for over 2.5 and 81.0% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 3.2 goals a game. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the goal environment, the model sees 58.2% for three or more goals and 81.0% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given St. Gallen favoured at 38.6%, a close contest often produces chances at both ends.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

38.6%Favoured: St. Gallen
61.3%Both Teams to Score
58.2%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 58.2% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSt. Gallen are the model’s pick on the result at 38.6%, a lean on probability, never on price.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in St. Gallen vs Servette?
The model's most likely scoreline for St. Gallen vs Servette is 1-1 at 11.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.