Ligue 2
St EtienneSt EtienneLDWWW
Fri, 6 Nov 20266/1119:00UK
LavalLavalDLDLW

Saint-Etienne vs Laval correct score prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

2-0 correct score11.1%
1-0 correct score10.5%
1-1 correct score10.3%

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 11.1%2-0

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = St Etienne goals, columns = Laval goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 11.1%.

The grid is the model's full scoreline distribution, not a single tip, but the shape of every plausible result. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 2-011.1%
  2. 1-010.5%
  3. 1-110.3%
  4. 2-19.9%
  5. 3-07.5%
  6. 3-16.7%
  7. 0-05.9%
  8. 2-24.4%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.5% 10.3% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 6.7% 3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: St Etienne · Columns: Laval

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

5.9%

0

14.9%

1

23.5%

2

22.4%

3

16.3%

4

15.3%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

St EtienneSt EtienneLast 5
L
Loss · 1-2
D
Draw · 2-2
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 1-0
W
Win · 1-0

3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

LavalLavalLast 5
D
Draw · 1-1
L
Loss · 2-3
D
Draw · 3-3
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 1-0

1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2St EtienneSt Etienne wins
2Draws
1LavalLaval wins
2.6Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
St EtienneSt Etienne
2 – 1
LavalLaval
LavalLaval
3 – 3
St EtienneSt Etienne
St EtienneSt Etienne
0 – 0
LavalLaval
LavalLaval
0 – 1
St EtienneSt Etienne
LavalLaval
2 – 1
St EtienneSt Etienne

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.8%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,049Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

Our model lands on Most likely · 11.1% at 2-0, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. Recent output points the same way: St Etienne have averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded, Laval 1.4 and 1.6 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 55.7% for over 2.5 and 79.2% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.6 goals a game. Read the recorded data and validation context alongside the estimate.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 55.7% for three or more goals and 79.2% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given St Etienne favoured at 63.2%, they may control possession and keep things tighter.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

63.2%Favoured: St Etienne
51.6%Both Teams to Score
55.7%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 2-0 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianSees an open, higher-tempo game from the 55.7% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutSt Etienne are the model’s pick on the result at 63.2%, context for how the goals may flow.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What is the most likely score in St Etienne vs Laval?
The model's most likely scoreline for St Etienne vs Laval is 2-0 at 11.1%.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.