Ligue 2
Reims vs 
Montpellier Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 42.2%, its strongest read on the Corners market. Across the lines, the model goes from 67.1% for over 7.5 to 14.7% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.8%. Between the two sides, Reims are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 52.9%, with a level count at 11.2%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 67.1% | 32.9% |
| 8.5 corners | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| 9.5 corners | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| 10.5 corners | 31.3% | 68.7% |
| 11.5 corners | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| 12.5 corners | 14.7% | 85.3% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
69.0%
52.8%
37.5%
57.3%
40.0%
25.6%
Corner handicap
| Reims line | Reims | Montpellier |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| -0.5 | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| +0.5 | 64.1% | 35.9% |
| +1.5 | 74.1% | 25.9% |
This season (2026/27)
1.7Reims corners won per game5.0Reims corners conceded per game5.7Montpellier corners won per game3.3Montpellier corners conceded per gameCorners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. More corners are projected for Reims.
In-depth analysis
Every figure here is what the model thinks, not advice. We score every call against the result after the match.
42.5%Over 9.5 corners52.8%Reims over 4.5 corners40.0%Montpellier over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalBy team, Reims over 4.5 corners sits at 52.8% and Montpellier at 40.0%. This season Reims have averaged 1.7 corners won a game and Montpellier 5.7.
Model lenses
The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Reims vs Montpellier?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 42.5% for Reims vs Montpellier.
Which team will win the corner count in Reims vs Montpellier?
The model rates Reims to win the corner count at 52.9%, with a level count at 11.2%.
How many corners do Reims and Montpellier average this season?
Reims have won 1.7 corners a game this season and Montpellier 5.7.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.
In 21,621 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 20 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
Our most recent Corners calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.
More Ligue 2, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
