Danish Superliga
Randers FCRanders FCWLLLD
Full time1-3Fri, 23 Oct 202623/1018:00UK
BrondbyBrondbyLLLWL

Randers FC 1-3 Brondby correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score12.8%
0-1 correct score9.3%
1-2 correct score8.9%

Result

Randers FC1-3Brondby

Final score 1-3. The model gave that exact scoreline 4.4%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 12.8%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = Randers FC goals, columns = Brondby goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. Read the heatmap as a map of likelihood, not a prediction of one score.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-112.8%
  2. 0-19.3%
  3. 1-28.9%
  4. 1-07.7%
  5. 2-17.5%
  6. 0-07.3%
  7. 0-27.2%
  8. 2-25.5%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3% 9.3% 7.2% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
1 7.7% 12.8% 8.9% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.1% 7.5% 5.5% 2.7% 1% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Rows: Randers FC · Columns: Brondby

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

7.3%

0

17.0%

1

25.1%

2

22.0%

3

14.9%

4

13.1%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

Randers FCRanders FCLast 5
W
Win · 3-0
L
Loss · 1-2
L
Loss · 2-4
L
Loss · 0-2
D
Draw · 0-0

1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses

BrondbyBrondbyLast 5
L
Loss · 0-3
L
Loss · 1-4
L
Loss · 0-1
W
Win · 5-2
L
Loss · 1-2

1 win · 0 draws · 4 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Randers FCRanders FC wins
2Draws
2BrondbyBrondby wins
2.4Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
BrondbyBrondby
0 – 3
Randers FCRanders FC
BrondbyBrondby
0 – 0
Randers FCRanders FC
Randers FCRanders FC
0 – 2
BrondbyBrondby
Randers FCRanders FC
0 – 0
BrondbyBrondby
BrondbyBrondby
4 – 3
Randers FCRanders FC

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 28 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 12.8% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: Randers FC have averaged 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded, Brondby 1.4 and 2.4 over their recent games. That fits a balanced goals environment: 50.6% for over 2.5 and 75.7% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 2.4 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

Looking at totals, the model sees 50.6% for three or more goals and 75.7% for at least two, painting a balanced picture. Given Brondby favoured at 42.0%, a competitive game tends to open up.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.

42.0%Favoured: Brondby
55.1%Both Teams to Score
50.6%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects a balanced game from the 50.6% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutBrondby are the model’s pick on the result at 42.0%, a lean on probability, never on price.
The RealistThis one sits near a coin-flip, the honest read is low conviction, no strong lean.

FAQ

What was the score in Randers FC vs Brondby?
Randers FC vs Brondby finished 1-3. The model's most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 12.8%; it gave the actual 1-3 a 4.4% chance.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.