Pro League
RAAL La LouviereLouviereLWLLW
Sat, 7 Nov 20267/1119:45UK
Cercle BruggeCercle BruggeLDLLL

RAAL La Louviere vs Cercle Brugge shots prediction

Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

Over 24.5 shotsBoth teams combined58.2%
Under 24.5 shotsBoth teams combined41.8%

Model read

A moderate lean, nothing emphatic.

Conviction is how far the model's probability sits from an even 50/50: Strong at 18 points or more, Moderate at 8 points or more, Lean below that.

Conviction: Moderate

Over 24.5 shots58.2%

Shots prediction

Model probabilities for this match. Over means more than the stated line; Under means fewer. For example, over 2.5 requires at least 3. These estimates are not bookmaker odds.

Shot counts move with pressure, not with the result, below are the model total-shot probabilities. More attempts are projected for RAAL La Louviere.

What the model expects

The average number of shots and shots on target each team takes in the model's own distribution for this match, the same distribution the lines below come from. It is an average, not a betting line, and it is a model estimate, not a recorded result.

Treat as a range

Model expected shots and shots on target, RAAL La Louviere vs Cercle Brugge
Model expects Shots On target
RAAL La Louviere 14.0 5.0
Cercle Brugge 12.1 4.3
Both teams 26.1 9.4

Total shots

Both teams combined.

Line Over Under
22.5 shots 69.6% 30.4%
24.5 shots 58.2% 41.8%
26.5 shots 46.5% 53.6%
28.5 shots 35.2% 64.8%

Who takes more shots

RAAL La Louviere
58.7%
Level
5.7%
Cercle Brugge
35.6%

Team shots lines

RAAL La Louviere

Over 10.5
75.2%
Over 12.5
60.2%
Over 14.5
44.5%

Cercle Brugge

Over 10.5
60.8%
Over 12.5
43.5%
Over 14.5
28.5%

Shots on target

Model probabilities for shots on target, both teams combined in the ladder and per team below. A shot on target is one the goalkeeper has to deal with, or a goal.

Treat as a range

Line Over Under
6.5 shots on target 79.3% 20.7%
7.5 shots on target 68.9% 31.1%
8.5 shots on target 57.3% 42.7%
9.5 shots on target 45.6% 54.4%

Who has more on target

RAAL La Louviere
52.0%
Level
11.8%
Cercle Brugge
36.2%

Team shots on target lines

RAAL La Louviere

Over 3.5
70.5%
Over 4.5
54.4%
Over 5.5
38.8%

Cercle Brugge

Over 3.5
60.5%
Over 4.5
43.0%
Over 5.5
28.0%

Shot handicap

The four handicap lines closest to an even split. The line is RAAL La Louviere's; Cercle Brugge gets the opposite line. Half lines have no push.

RAAL La Louviere line RAAL La Louviere Cercle Brugge
-4.5 35.3% 64.7%
-2.5 46.9% 53.1%
-0.5 58.7% 41.3%
+0.5 64.4% 35.6%

Shots stats

Recorded results from league matches, not predictions. A missing value is shown as a dot, never as zero.

This season: average per game in this season's league matches. A value appears only after five matches with shot data; Matches shows how many there were. More shots is the share of matches in which the team took more shots than its opponent.

At home and away: RAAL La Louviere in their home matches and Cercle Brugge in their away matches this season, the venue each side plays at in this match. A split appears after three matches at that venue.

By half: shots before and after the break, per game. In the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A and Ligue 1 the half split comes from Understat and is used only when the shots before the break match the half-time score; elsewhere it comes from the data provider's half-by-half statistics and is used only when both halves add up to the full-time count. Shots on target per half come from the data provider. The halves can therefore have fewer matches, shown in brackets, than the full-match averages.

By half, at home and away: the same half split, using only RAAL La Louviere's home matches and Cercle Brugge's away matches.

Last six league matches: the most recent six league matches with shot data, which can include last season. Shown only with at least five matches.

Last six at home and away: RAAL La Louviere's last six home league matches and Cercle Brugge's last six away league matches, across seasons when needed.

RAAL La LouviereRAAL La Louviere

Recorded 2026/27

Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge
This season
Statistic
RAAL La Louviere
Cercle Brugge
Shots per game
11.6
14.4

Shots faced per game
16.4
13.3

Shots on target per game
3.6
4.3

On target faced per game
5.1
4.8

Matches with more shots
37.5%
50.0%

Matches
8
8
RAAL La Louviere at home, Cercle Brugge away
Statistic
RAAL La Louviere
Cercle Brugge
Shots per game
14.8
12.0

Shots faced per game
13.8
14.8

Shots on target per game
4.8
3.8

On target faced per game
4.8
4.8

Matches
4
4
By half, this season
Statistic
RAAL La Louviere
Cercle Brugge
1st-half shots
4.9
6.3

2nd-half shots
6.8
8.1

1st-half shots faced
7.9
6.3

2nd-half shots faced
8.5
7.0

1st-half shots on target
1.9
1.3

2nd-half shots on target
1.8
3.0

1st-half on target faced
2.4
1.4

2nd-half on target faced
2.8
3.4

Matches
8
8
By half, at home and away
Statistic
RAAL La Louviere
Cercle Brugge
1st-half shots
6.8
5.3

2nd-half shots
8.0
6.8

1st-half shots faced
6.0
7.3

2nd-half shots faced
7.8
7.5

1st-half shots on target
2.8
0.8

2nd-half shots on target
2.0
3.0

1st-half on target faced
2.3
1.8

2nd-half on target faced
2.5
3.0

Matches
4
4
Last six league matches
Statistic
RAAL La Louviere
Cercle Brugge
Shots per game
13.2
11.0

Shots faced per game
15.8
13.5

Shots on target per game
4.2
3.7

On target faced per game
5.5
5.5

Matches
6
6
Last six at home and away
Statistic
RAAL La Louviere
Cercle Brugge
Shots per game
14.5
11.0

Shots faced per game
13.8
15.8

Shots on target per game
5.5
3.8

On target faced per game
5.2
6.2

Matches
6
6

League average per match: 28.2 shots, 9.0 on target, 12.7 in the 1st half, 15.5 in the 2nd half.

Shots accuracy

How our Shots calls have actually done, each one scored against the real result on matches the model had never seen.

58.7%Best Shots call, hit rate
0.0367Calibration error
50,949Matches graded

In 13,110 matches we rated like this one (50–60%), Shots actually happened 57.0% of the time.

Predictions & track record updated 31 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Our last 10 Shots calls

Our most recent Shots calls, each one scored against the result. The model had never seen these matches when it made them. Green means we got it right, red means we got it wrong, and the number is how sure we were.

✗ 54.7%✗ 50.1%✓ 53.8%✗ 51.6%✗ 52.8%✗ 55.8%✗ 57.3%✗ 54.2%✗ 55.6%✗ 55.0%
1 of 10 recent calls hit.
Frosinone vs Lecce2026-10-29Under 24.5 54.7%Miss
Fiorentina vs Atalanta2026-10-29Over 24.5 50.1%Miss
Milan vs Bologna2026-10-28Under 24.5 53.8%Hit
Parma vs Udinese2026-10-28Under 24.5 51.6%Miss
Venezia vs Inter2026-10-28Under 24.5 52.8%Miss
Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The model makes Over 24.5 shots at 58.2%, its strongest read on the Shots market. The total-shots ladder runs from 69.6% for over 22.5 to 35.2% for over 28.5, with over 26.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 46.5%. On the shot count, RAAL La Louviere are the model’s pick to have more shots at 58.7%, with a level count at 5.7%. The published percentage is an estimate, not a guarantee or a measured hit rate.

In-depth analysis

For the team lines, RAAL La Louviere over 12.5 shots sits at 60.2% and Cercle Brugge at 43.5%. This season RAAL La Louviere have averaged 11.6 shots a game and Cercle Brugge 14.4. RAAL La Louviere take 4.9 shots before half-time and 6.8 after, Cercle Brugge 6.3 and 8.1.

We publish the model, not a sure thing. We score every call against the result after the match.

58.2%Over 24.5 shots
58.7%Most shots: RAAL La Louviere
60.2%RAAL La Louviere over 12.5 shots
43.5%Cercle Brugge over 12.5 shots
68.9%Over 7.5 on target

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 58.2% on Shots. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The Volume ReaderRAAL La Louviere are the pick to have more shots at 58.7%, the side controlling territory usually gets the attempts.
The Clock WatcherRAAL La Louviere average 4.9 shots in the first half and 6.8 in the second, so their volume builds as the game opens up.
The Line SetterThe fairest total line is 26.5 shots: over sits at 46.5%, the closest to a coin-flip on the ladder.

FAQ

How many shots in RAAL La Louviere vs Cercle Brugge?
The model expects about 14.0 shots for RAAL La Louviere and 12.1 for Cercle Brugge, 26.1 in total, and rates over 24.5 total shots at 58.2%.
How many shots on target in RAAL La Louviere vs Cercle Brugge?
The model expects about 5.0 shots on target for RAAL La Louviere and 4.3 for Cercle Brugge, and rates over 7.5 shots on target at 68.9%.
Which team will have more shots in RAAL La Louviere vs Cercle Brugge?
The model rates RAAL La Louviere to take more shots at 58.7%.
How many shots do Cercle Brugge take away from home?
Cercle Brugge have taken 12.0 shots per game and faced 14.8 across 4 recorded away league matches this season.
Do RAAL La Louviere shoot more in the first or second half?
RAAL La Louviere average 4.9 shots before half-time and 6.8 after, this season.
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.