Eredivisie
PSV EindhovenPSV EindhovenWWLWL
Full time1-1Sun, 25 Oct 202625/1013:30UK
FeyenoordFeyenoordWWWWW

PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Feyenoord correct score: our prediction vs the result

Pre-match model estimates. Based on the Road2Sushi model. Not guaranteed outcomes.

1-1 correct score8.1%
2-1 correct score8.1%
2-2 correct score7.2%

Result

PSV Eindhoven1-1Feyenoord

Final score 1-1. The model gave that exact scoreline 8.1%.

Model read

No single outcome dominates, read the distribution.

Conviction: Open

Most likely · 8.1%1-1

Correct score

Score distribution: the model probability of each exact score.

Rows = PSV Eindhoven goals, columns = Feyenoord goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 8.1%.

No exact score is ever truly likely; the value is in the full distribution the model assigns. The brightest cells are where the match is most likely to land.

Most likely scorelines

  1. 1-18.1%
  2. 2-18.1%
  3. 2-27.2%
  4. 1-26.9%
  5. 3-15.7%
  6. 3-25.0%
  7. 2-04.6%
  8. 2-34.3%

Score probability grid

H / A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5% 3.3% 3.3% 2% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4% 8.1% 6.9% 4.1% 1.8% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.2% 5.7% 5% 3% 1.3% 0.5%
4 1.7% 3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: PSV Eindhoven · Columns: Feyenoord

Goals distribution

How likely each total number of goals is, according to the model. Every goals market on this page is built from these bars. The 5+ bar covers every result with five goals or more.

2.5%

0

7.3%

1

16.0%

2

20.1%

3

19.5%

4

31.7%

5+

Form & head-to-head

Recent form uses each club’s available results in their stored order. Select a W/D/L result for details.

Head-to-head figures use their own recorded sample. Where individual results are available, the figures and journal cover the same meetings. Missing results are never counted as draws.

PSV EindhovenPSV EindhovenLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 4-1
L
Loss · 2-3
W
Win · 2-0
L
Loss · 1-2

3 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses

FeyenoordFeyenoordLast 5
W
Win · 3-1
W
Win · 7-0
W
Win · 5-0
W
Win · 2-0
W
Win · 4-3

5 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses

W Win
D Draw
L Loss

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

4PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven wins
1Draws
0FeyenoordFeyenoord wins
4.0Average goals
Date
Home team
Score
Away team
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
3 – 0
FeyenoordFeyenoord
FeyenoordFeyenoord
2 – 3
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
FeyenoordFeyenoord
2 – 3
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
3 – 0
FeyenoordFeyenoord
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
2 – 2
FeyenoordFeyenoord

Overall model accuracy

We don't yet publish a graded Correct Score-specific track record, so this is our overall accuracy across every 1X2 call, graded out-of-sample, updated daily.

0.0106Calibration error (1X2)
47.7%Top-pick hit rate (1X2)
56,038Matches graded

Predictions & track record updated 27 Oct 2026.

See the full, dated track record

Model analysis: reasoning, key facts and model lenses

Expert AI analysis

The headline read is Most likely · 8.1% at 1-1, its strongest read on the Correct Score market. It is driven by both attacks and defences: PSV Eindhoven have averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, Feyenoord 4.2 and 0.8 over their recent games. That fits an open goals environment: 74.3% for over 2.5 and 90.3% for at least two goals. Their last 5 meetings have averaged 4.0 goals a game. This is a model estimate; validation depends on the market and available sample.

In-depth analysis

On the goals side, the model sees 74.3% for three or more goals and 90.3% for at least two, painting a high-scoring picture. With PSV Eindhoven favoured at 45.4%, neither side dominating can mean an end-to-end match.

These are the model’s own percentages, not tips. We score every call against the result after the match.

45.4%Favoured: PSV Eindhoven
73.3%Both Teams to Score
74.3%Over 2.5 goals

Model lenses

The same numbers read in different ways by one model. These are not separate tipsters, and none of them is a tip.

The ModelPublished estimate: 1-1 on Correct Score. Validation depends on the market and sample; this percentage is not a measured hit rate.
The TacticianProjects an open, higher-tempo game from the 74.3% over 2.5 read.
The ScoutPSV Eindhoven are the model’s pick on the result at 45.4%, game state shapes how this market plays out.

FAQ

What was the score in PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?
PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord finished 1-1, exactly the model's most likely scoreline (8.1%).
How is this probability calculated?
The estimate comes from models fitted to recorded match data. Calibration and validation depend on the market, league and available sample; the percentage alone does not establish accuracy or a profitable price.
Is this a betting tip?
This is a model estimate, not a guarantee or a demonstrated profitable edge. Where the required result data is available, saved predictions are graded including misses. An unavailable market result stays ungraded.

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Related

Model estimates; validation depends on the market and available sample. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.