Super League Greece
Panetolikos vs 
PAOK Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The model makes Over 9.5 corners at 36.7%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 61.3% for over 7.5 to 11.0% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 48.4%. Between the two sides, Panetolikos are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 51.7%, with a level count at 11.2%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 61.3% | 38.7% |
| 8.5 corners | 48.4% | 51.6% |
| 9.5 corners | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| 10.5 corners | 25.6% | 74.4% |
| 11.5 corners | 17.3% | 82.8% |
| 12.5 corners | 11.0% | 89.0% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
64.0%
47.6%
32.9%
53.4%
36.5%
23.0%
Corner handicap
| Panetolikos line | Panetolikos | PAOK |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| -0.5 | 51.7% | 48.4% |
| +0.5 | 62.8% | 37.2% |
| +1.5 | 73.0% | 27.0% |
Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Panetolikos.
In-depth analysis
Every figure is the model’s own calibrated read, not advice. The track record is public, misses included.
36.2%Over 9.5 corners47.6%Panetolikos over 4.5 corners36.5%PAOK over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalSplit by side, Panetolikos over 4.5 corners sits at 47.6% and PAOK at 36.5%.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Panetolikos vs PAOK?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 36.2% for Panetolikos vs PAOK.
Which team will win the corner count in Panetolikos vs PAOK?
The model rates Panetolikos to win the corner count at 51.7%, with a level count at 11.2%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 3,416 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 19 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Super League Greece, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
