Super League Greece
Atromitos vs 
Kifisia Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
The headline read is Over 9.5 corners at 39.6%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 64.5% for over 7.5 to 12.9% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 51.9%. Head to head on corners, Atromitos are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 55.3%, with a level count at 10.7%. These are the model’s own calibrated numbers, not betting advice.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| 8.5 corners | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| 9.5 corners | 39.6% | 60.4% |
| 10.5 corners | 28.7% | 71.3% |
| 11.5 corners | 19.7% | 80.3% |
| 12.5 corners | 12.9% | 87.1% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
68.3%
52.5%
37.6%
52.8%
36.0%
22.6%
Corner handicap
| Atromitos line | Atromitos | Kifisia |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| -0.5 | 55.3% | 44.7% |
| +0.5 | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| +1.5 | 75.5% | 24.5% |
Corner counts follow pressure and wide play, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Atromitos.
In-depth analysis
39.6%Over 9.5 corners52.5%Atromitos over 4.5 corners36.0%Kifisia over 4.5 corners50.0%Odd corner totalFor the team lines, Atromitos over 4.5 corners sits at 52.5% and Kifisia at 36.0%.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Atromitos vs Kifisia?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 39.6% for Atromitos vs Kifisia.
Which team will win the corner count in Atromitos vs Kifisia?
The model rates Atromitos to win the corner count at 55.3%, with a level count at 10.7%.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 3,416 matches we rated like this one (30–40%), Corners actually happened 40.0% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 17 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.
