Ligue 2Nancy vs 
Reims Corners
model probability
Expert AI analysis
Our model lands on Over 9.5 corners at 41.9%, its strongest read on the Corners market. The total-corners ladder runs from 66.7% for over 7.5 to 14.4% for over 12.5, with over 8.5 the closest line to a coin-flip at 54.3%. Between the two sides, Nancy are the model’s pick to win the corner count at 51.3%, with a level count at 11.3%. It is a calibrated model probability, graded out-of-sample, not a tip.
Corners
Total corners, every line
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 corners | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| 8.5 corners | 54.3% | 45.7% |
| 9.5 corners | 42.1% | 57.9% |
| 10.5 corners | 30.9% | 69.1% |
| 11.5 corners | 21.6% | 78.4% |
| 12.5 corners | 14.4% | 85.6% |
Who wins the corner count
Team corner lines
67.8%
51.4%
36.1%
58.2%
40.8%
26.4%
Corner handicap
| Nancy line | Nancy | Reims |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 39.9% | 60.1% |
| -0.5 | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| +0.5 | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| +1.5 | 72.9% | 27.1% |
This season (2026/27)
Corners track territory and shot volume more than the scoreline, below are the model total-corner probabilities. It leans to Nancy.
In-depth analysis
By team, Nancy over 4.5 corners sits at 51.4% and Reims at 40.8%. This season Nancy have averaged 3.6 corners won a game and Reims 2.0.
These are calibrated model probabilities, not tips. The track record is public, misses included.
Model lenses
Different analytical lenses our model applies to the same calibrated data, not separate tipsters, and never a tip.
FAQ
How many corners in Nancy vs Reims?
The model rates over 9.5 total corners at 42.1% for Nancy vs Reims.
Which team will win the corner count in Nancy vs Reims?
The model rates Nancy to win the corner count at 51.3%, with a level count at 11.3%.
How many corners do Nancy and Reims average this season?
Nancy have won 3.6 corners a game this season and Reims 2.0.
How is this probability calculated?
We fit a goals and markets model (Dixon-Coles plus an xG strength model and an ensemble) on real match data, then calibrate the output against out-of-sample results. It is a calibrated model probability, not an odds-derived tip.
Is this a betting tip?
No – these are calibrated model probabilities, graded against real results. We publish our full track record, including the misses, and never claim to beat the closing market.
Corners accuracy
How our Corners calls have actually performed, graded out-of-sample against real results.
In 21,548 matches we rated like this one (40–50%), Corners actually happened 47.7% of the time.
Predictions & track record updated 11 Sep 2026. See the full, dated track record →
Our last 10 Corners calls
The model’s most recent graded Corners predictions, out-of-sample. Green means the call hit, red means it missed. The number is the model confidence on each.
More Ligue 2, Corners
Related
Model probabilities, calibration-graded, not a tip. We publish our track record, including the misses. 18+. For information only, not betting advice. If gambling is a problem, visit BeGambleAware.